Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Fana vs Bjarg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.21Total
Fana1.38
Bjarg2.83
1X2
Fana
Draw
Bjarg
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Fana
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Bjarg
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fana
1–5
Bjarg
(6 last)
- Fana3-4Bjarg
- Bjarg6-0Fana
- Fana1-5Bjarg
- Bjarg3-0Fana
- Bjarg2-3Fana
- Bjarg2-1Fana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fana 1514 · Bjarg 1515
| Fana | Draw | Bjarg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| Market | 15% | 18% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bjarg: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fana | Bjarg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 10 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fana 1–0–5 Bjarg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Fana | 3-4 HT 2-4 | Bjarg |
| 27/04/25 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Bjarg | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Fana |
| 27/10/24 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Fana | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Bjarg |
| 22/06/24 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Bjarg | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Fana |
| 24/05/23 Norway Cup | Bjarg | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Fana |
| 16/10/22 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Bjarg | 2-1 | Fana |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-0 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-3 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Bjarg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-5 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fana vs Bjarg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bjarg win (67%). Probabilities: Fana 16%, draw 18%, Bjarg 67%.
How many goals are expected in Fana vs Bjarg?
The model expects 4.21 goals (Fana 1.38 · Bjarg 2.83), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fana vs Bjarg?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.