Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy

Team pages: Vindbjart · Flekkerøy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

Vindbjart2.03

Flekkerøy1.76

1X2

45% 22% 34%

Vindbjart Draw Flekkerøy

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vindbjart 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLWWLW

Flekkerøy 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Vindbjart 0–6 Flekkerøy (6 last)

Flekkerøy2-0Vindbjart
Vindbjart0-6Flekkerøy
Flekkerøy5-2Vindbjart
Vindbjart0-1Flekkerøy
Vindbjart0-5Flekkerøy
Flekkerøy2-0Vindbjart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vindbjart 1530 · Flekkerøy 1508

	Vindbjart	Draw	Flekkerøy
Our model	44%	23%	33%
Market	45%	21%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Flekkerøy: 6-0-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vindbjart	Flekkerøy
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.4	2.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 7.1	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.33

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:58 +16’	2.00	4.33	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vindbjart 0–0–6 Flekkerøy

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Flekkerøy	2-0 HT 1-0	Vindbjart
19/05/22 Norway Cup	Vindbjart	0-6 HT 0-2	Flekkerøy
11/02/22 Europe Friendlies	Flekkerøy	5-2 HT 2-2	Vindbjart
24/07/21 Norway Cup	Vindbjart	0-1 HT 0-1	Flekkerøy
27/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Vindbjart	0-5 HT 0-2	Flekkerøy
26/04/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Flekkerøy	2-0 HT 0-0	Vindbjart

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vindbjart	Flekkerøy
Åkra	6-0 W	3-1 W
Madla	3-4 L	1-5 L
Odd II	2-1 W	1-3 L
Hinna	7-0 W	2-3 L
Haugesund 2	4-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vindbjart (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vindbjart

LLDWWLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-0	6-0	4	9	W
08/08	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-4	4	3	L
03/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-1	8	4	W
25/07	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	7-0	6	2	W
28/06	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-2	2-3	10	1	L
21/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	11	1	W
30/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	6	4	D
23/05	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
16/05	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-2	11	4	L

Flekkerøy

WWWWLWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
01/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
25/07	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-4	1-5	2	2	L
26/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
22/06	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-3	8	5	L
14/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-3	6	2	W
30/05	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-3	4-3	–	–	W
23/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
16/05	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vindbjart win (45%). Probabilities: Vindbjart 45%, draw 22%, Flekkerøy 34%.

How many goals are expected in Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Vindbjart 2.03 · Flekkerøy 1.76), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.