Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Madla vs Vidar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.15Total
Madla2.1
Vidar2.05
1X2
Madla
Draw
Vidar
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Madla
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Vidar
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Madla
2–2–2
Vidar
(6 last)
- Vidar3-4Madla
- Madla2-1Vidar
- Madla3-3Vidar
- Vidar3-0Madla
- Madla1-5Vidar
- Vidar2-2Madla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madla 1566 · Vidar 1410
| Madla | Draw | Vidar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| Market | 41% | 20% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madla (rating 1566 vs 1410).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Madla | Vidar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.3 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madla 2–2–2 Vidar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Vidar | 3-4 HT 2-3 | Madla |
| 03/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Madla | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Vidar |
| 07/03/25 Europe Friendlies | Madla | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Vidar |
| 29/08/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Vidar | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Madla |
| 15/05/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Madla | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Vidar |
| 14/09/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Vidar | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Madla |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Vidar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madla vs Vidar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Madla win (41%). Probabilities: Madla 41%, draw 21%, Vidar 39%.
How many goals are expected in Madla vs Vidar?
The model expects 4.15 goals (Madla 2.1 · Vidar 2.05), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Madla vs Vidar?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.