Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 15:00
Prediction: Lillehammer vs Strommen
Team pages: Lillehammer · Strommen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Lillehammer1.44
Strommen1.82
1X2
Lillehammer
Draw
Strommen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lillehammer
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Strommen
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lillehammer 1621 · Strommen 1458
| Lillehammer | Draw | Strommen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 25% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 27% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lillehammer (rating 1621 vs 1458).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lillehammer | Strommen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.6 | 3.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lillehammer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 5-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
7-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
4-0 | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Strommen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lillehammer vs Strommen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Strommen win (45%). Probabilities: Lillehammer 29%, draw 26%, Strommen 45%.
How many goals are expected in Lillehammer vs Strommen?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Lillehammer 1.44 · Strommen 1.82), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lillehammer vs Strommen?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.