Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 14:00
Prediction: Spjelkavik vs Hodd
Team pages: Spjelkavik · Hodd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.19Total
Spjelkavik1.1
Hodd3.1
1X2
Spjelkavik
Draw
Hodd
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Spjelkavik
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Hodd
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spjelkavik
0–2
Hodd
(2 last)
- Spjelkavik0-5Hodd
- Hodd4-1Spjelkavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spjelkavik 1520 · Hodd 1537
| Spjelkavik | Draw | Hodd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 8% | 11% | 81% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.19 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hodd: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spjelkavik | Hodd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spjelkavik 0–0–2 Hodd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/23 Norway Cup | Spjelkavik | 0-5 HT 0-4 | Hodd |
| 26/04/17 Norway Cup | Hodd | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Spjelkavik |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spjelkavik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
2-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 15 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Hodd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 4-3 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
3-2 | 4-3 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spjelkavik vs Hodd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hodd win (79%). Probabilities: Spjelkavik 9%, draw 13%, Hodd 79%.
How many goals are expected in Spjelkavik vs Hodd?
The model expects 4.19 goals (Spjelkavik 1.1 · Hodd 3.1), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Spjelkavik vs Hodd?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.