Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Lørenskog vs Moss
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Lørenskog1.48
Moss1.97
1X2
Lørenskog
Draw
Moss
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lørenskog
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Moss
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lørenskog
1–3
Moss
(4 last)
- Lørenskog3-1Moss
- Moss5-0Lørenskog
- Lørenskog2-4Moss
- Moss4-0Lørenskog
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lørenskog 1497 · Moss 1421
| Lørenskog | Draw | Moss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market | 29% | 22% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lørenskog (rating 1497 vs 1421).
- H2H favours Moss: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lørenskog | Moss | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 2.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lørenskog 1–0–3 Moss
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/15 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Lørenskog | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Moss |
| 27/06/15 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Moss | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Lørenskog |
| 09/08/14 Norway Division 2 Group 4 | Lørenskog | 2-4 HT 0-1 | Moss |
| 27/04/14 Norway Division 2 Group 4 | Moss | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Lørenskog |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lørenskog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-4 | 1-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Moss
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 10/08 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
3-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lørenskog vs Moss?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Moss win (49%). Probabilities: Lørenskog 29%, draw 23%, Moss 49%.
How many goals are expected in Lørenskog vs Moss?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Lørenskog 1.48 · Moss 1.97), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lørenskog vs Moss?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.