Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 14:00
Prediction: Nordstrand vs Skeid
Team pages: Nordstrand · Skeid
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.84Total
Nordstrand1.47
Skeid2.37
1X2
Nordstrand
Draw
Skeid
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Nordstrand
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Skeid
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nordstrand
1–0
Skeid
(1 last)
- Skeid0-2Nordstrand
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nordstrand 1481 · Skeid 1431
| Nordstrand | Draw | Skeid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 21% | 57% |
| Market | 23% | 20% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nordstrand (rating 1481 vs 1431).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nordstrand | Skeid | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.3 | 1.5 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nordstrand 1–0–0 Skeid
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/24 Europe Friendlies | Skeid | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nordstrand |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nordstrand
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-3 | 2-7 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
Skeid
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-4 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 7-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nordstrand vs Skeid?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Skeid win (57%). Probabilities: Nordstrand 23%, draw 20%, Skeid 57%.
How many goals are expected in Nordstrand vs Skeid?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Nordstrand 1.47 · Skeid 2.37), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nordstrand vs Skeid?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.