Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 09/10, 18:00

Prediction: FK Usti nad Labem vs Opava

Team pages: FK Usti nad Labem · Opava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

FK Usti nad Labem1.74

Opava1.21

1X2

49% 26% 26%

FK Usti nad Labem Draw Opava

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Usti nad Labem 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWWDLW

Opava 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLDDLDW

Head-to-head

FK Usti nad Labem 1–1–4 Opava (6 last)

FK Usti nad Labem2-1Opava
Opava3-3FK Usti nad Labem
Opava2-0FK Usti nad Labem
FK Usti nad Labem0-2Opava
Opava2-0FK Usti nad Labem
FK Usti nad Labem2-5Opava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Usti nad Labem 1582 · Opava 1482

	FK Usti nad Labem	Draw	Opava
Our model	49%	26%	25%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Usti nad Labem (rating 1582 vs 1482).
H2H favours Opava: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Usti nad Labem	Opava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	1.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:27	1.83	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Usti nad Labem 1–1–4 Opava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem	2-1 HT 1-0	Opava
17/10/25 Czechia 2. Liga	Opava	3-3 HT 2-2	FK Usti nad Labem
11/05/22 Czechia 2. Liga	Opava	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Usti nad Labem
19/11/21 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem	0-2 HT 0-2	Opava
24/03/18 Czechia 2. Liga	Opava	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Usti nad Labem
11/08/17 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem	2-5 HT 0-2	Opava

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	9	6	0	3	19	12	18
2	FK Usti nad Labem	9	5	3	1	15	8	18
3	Dukla Praha	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
4	Vysocina Jihlava	9	5	1	3	14	9	16
5	FK Pribram	9	3	5	1	15	14	14
6	Slavia Prague B	9	3	4	2	19	15	13
7	FC Silon Taborsko	9	3	4	2	13	12	13
8	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	9	3	3	3	17	14	12
9	Banik Ostrava B	9	3	2	4	15	12	11
10	SK Kladno	9	2	4	3	13	14	10
11	Opava	9	2	4	3	13	15	10
12	Viktoria Zizkov	9	3	1	5	8	16	10
13	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	9	2	3	4	10	16	9
14	SK Prostejov	9	1	5	3	11	12	8
15	Trinec	9	1	4	4	10	17	7
16	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	9	1	3	5	8	19	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Usti nad Labem	Opava
Slavia Prague B	1-1 D	3-3 D
FC Silon Taborsko	1-0 W	0-3 L
Dukla Praha	3-1 W	1-2 L
Trinec	0-0 D	2-2 D
Arsenal Ceska Lipa	3-3 D	2-1 W
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	2-0 W	2-2 D
SK Kladno	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Usti nad Labem (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Usti nad Labem

LWWDDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
11/09	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	6	5	L
04/09	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
29/08	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
21/08	Dukla Praha Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
17/08	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
07/08	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	3-0	3-3	7	6	D
01/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
24/07	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
23/05	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	0-3	1-3	6	3	L

Opava

DWLDLDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	3	3	W
12/09	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
05/09	Dukla Praha Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
30/08	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	6	5	D
21/08	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	8	3	D
15/08	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
07/08	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
31/07	FK Pribram Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
27/07	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
23/05	FK Pribram Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Usti nad Labem vs Opava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Usti nad Labem win (49%). Probabilities: FK Usti nad Labem 49%, draw 26%, Opava 26%.

How many goals are expected in FK Usti nad Labem vs Opava?

The model expects 2.95 goals (FK Usti nad Labem 1.74 · Opava 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Usti nad Labem vs Opava?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.