Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 16/10, 18:00

Prediction: FK Pribram vs Trinec

Team pages: FK Pribram · Trinec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

FK Pribram1.96

Trinec1.12

1X2

56% 24% 20%

FK Pribram Draw Trinec

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Pribram 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWDLDW

Trinec 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDLDDLLWLL

Head-to-head

FK Pribram 2–4 Trinec (6 last)

Trinec2-1FK Pribram
FK Pribram3-1Trinec
Trinec4-1FK Pribram
FK Pribram0-1Trinec
FK Pribram2-1Trinec
Trinec2-1FK Pribram

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Pribram 1511 · Trinec 1459

	FK Pribram	Draw	Trinec
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	55%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Pribram (rating 1511 vs 1459).
H2H favours Trinec: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Pribram	Trinec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.60

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +7’	1.61	3.60	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Pribram 2–0–4 Trinec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/23 Czechia 2. Liga	Trinec	2-1 HT 2-0	FK Pribram
17/09/22 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Pribram	3-1 HT 2-0	Trinec
30/04/22 Czechia 2. Liga	Trinec	4-1 HT 1-0	FK Pribram
30/10/21 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Pribram	0-1 HT 0-1	Trinec
25/11/17 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Pribram	2-1 HT 1-0	Trinec
05/08/17 Czechia 2. Liga	Trinec	2-1 HT 2-1	FK Pribram

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	10	7	0	3	20	12	21
2	Dukla Praha	10	6	2	2	21	15	20
3	FK Usti nad Labem	10	5	3	2	17	11	18
4	FK Pribram	10	4	5	1	18	15	17
5	Vysocina Jihlava	10	5	2	3	16	11	17
6	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	10	4	3	3	19	14	15
7	SK Kladno	10	3	4	3	14	14	13
8	FC Silon Taborsko	10	3	4	3	13	13	13
9	Viktoria Zizkov	10	4	1	5	10	17	13
10	Opava	10	3	4	3	16	17	13
11	Slavia Prague B	10	3	4	3	19	17	13
12	Banik Ostrava B	10	3	2	5	17	15	11
13	SK Prostejov	10	1	6	3	13	14	9
14	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	10	2	3	5	11	18	9
15	Trinec	10	1	4	5	10	18	7
16	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	10	1	3	6	9	22	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Pribram	Trinec
SK Kladno	2-2 D	0-1 L
Banik Ostrava B	1-3 L	1-4 L
Viktoria Zizkov	1-1 D	0-3 L
MFK Karvina	2-1 W	3-2 W
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	2-2 D	1-2 L
SK Prostejov	2-2 D	1-1 D
Vysocina Jihlava	2-1 W	0-0 D
Opava	1-0 W	2-2 D
Slavia Prague B	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Pribram (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Pribram

DWWDDWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	1	4	W
20/09	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	2-2	6	0	D
11/09	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
29/08	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
21/08	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	5	6	D
15/08	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	10	6	D
07/08	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
31/07	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
26/07	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	4	6	D

Trinec

DDLDDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
20/09	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
11/09	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	3-2	3	3	W
04/09	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	5	2	L
29/08	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	0-3	1-4	5	4	L
21/08	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	4	3	D
17/08	FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
07/08	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	2-3	2-3	7	4	L
01/08	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
24/07	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Pribram vs Trinec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Pribram win (56%). Probabilities: FK Pribram 56%, draw 24%, Trinec 20%.

How many goals are expected in FK Pribram vs Trinec?

The model expects 3.09 goals (FK Pribram 1.96 · Trinec 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Pribram vs Trinec?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.