Football · Croatia 2.NL · 22/08, 17:30

Prediction: NK Krizevci vs Varteks Varazdin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

NK Krizevci1.39

Varteks Varazdin0.92

1X2

48% 27% 25%

NK Krizevci Draw Varteks Varazdin

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NK Krizevci 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLWDLL

Varteks Varazdin 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWDDLLWL

Head-to-head

NK Krizevci 0–1–1 Varteks Varazdin (2 last)

NK Krizevci0-2Varteks Varazdin
Varteks Varazdin0-0NK Krizevci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Krizevci 1472 · Varteks Varazdin 1469

	NK Krizevci	Draw	Varteks Varazdin
Our model	47%	30%	23%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Krizevci	Varteks Varazdin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.6	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	14/43/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.4	1.5 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +6’	1.83	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Krizevci 0–1–1 Varteks Varazdin

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Krizevci	0-2	Varteks Varazdin
03/12/25 Croatia 2.NL	Varteks Varazdin	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Krizevci

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uljanik	1	1	0	3	2	3
2	Bjelovar	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Dugo Selo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Grobnican	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Inker Zapresic	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Jarun	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Koprivnica	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Lucko	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Krizevci	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Slavonija Pozega	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Solin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Trnje	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Uskok	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Varteks Varazdin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Zagora	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1	0	1	2	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Krizevci	Varteks Varazdin
Jadran LP	0-1 L	1-2 L
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0-0 D	0-0 D
NK Solin	2-1 W	3-2 W
Mladost Zdralovi	1-3 L	0-2 L
NK Uljanik	2-0 W	0-3 L
NK Trnje	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Krizevci

DWLLWLWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	Jadran LP Croatia 2.NL	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/05	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
09/05	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	–	2-1	–	–	W
01/05	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	1	2	L
25/04	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/04	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
11/04	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
04/04	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/03	NK Kustosija Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	8	4	D

Varteks Varazdin

DLLWDDLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	1-1	2-3	1	4	L
23/05	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	–	2-0	–	–	W
16/05	NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL	–	0-1	–	–	L
09/05	Jadran LP Croatia 2.NL	–	1-2	–	–	L
02/05	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
24/04	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
17/04	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	2-0	3-2	1	6	W
11/04	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 2.NL	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
02/04	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	0-3	0-3	2	4	L
28/03	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Krizevci vs Varteks Varazdin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Krizevci win (48%). Probabilities: NK Krizevci 48%, draw 27%, Varteks Varazdin 25%.

How many goals are expected in NK Krizevci vs Varteks Varazdin?

The model expects 2.31 goals (NK Krizevci 1.39 · Varteks Varazdin 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Krizevci vs Varteks Varazdin?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.