Football · Croatia 2.NL · 29/08, 17:30
Prediction: NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Lucko
Team pages: NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac · NK Lucko
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac1.3
NK Lucko1.28
1X2
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Draw
NK Lucko
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
NK Lucko
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
3–1–2
NK Lucko
(6 last)
- NK Lucko0-1NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac1-3NK Lucko
- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac2-1NK Lucko
- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac2-1NK Lucko
- NK Lucko1-0NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
- NK Lucko0-0NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1500 · NK Lucko 1450
| NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac | Draw | NK Lucko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac (rating 1500 vs 1450).
- H2H favours NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac | NK Lucko | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 14/43/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.4 | 5.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 3–1–2 NK Lucko
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Croatia 2.NL | NK Lucko | 0-1 HT 0-0 | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac |
| 17/10/25 Croatia 2.NL | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 1-3 HT 1-2 | NK Lucko |
| 16/04/19 Croatia Regional Cup | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 2-1 HT 1-0 | NK Lucko |
| 12/04/19 Croatia 1.NL | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 2-1 HT 1-1 | NK Lucko |
| 26/01/19 Europe Friendlies | NK Lucko | 1-0 HT 1-0 | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac |
| 06/10/18 Croatia 1.NL | NK Lucko | 0-0 | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac |
Standings · Croatia 2.NL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Krizevci | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | NK Trnje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | NK Uskok | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | NK Koprivnica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Bjelovar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | NK Uljanik | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | NK Dugo Selo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | NK Jarun | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | NK Lucko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | NK Solin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | NK Slavonija Pozega | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | NK Zagora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | NK Grobnican | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | NK Inker Zapresic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Varteks Varazdin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac | NK Lucko |
|---|---|---|
| NK Croatia Dakovo | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Jadran LP | 0-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Varteks Varazdin | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| NK Solin | 6-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 01/05 | Jadran LP Croatia 2.NL |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/04 | NK Solin Croatia 2.NL |
3-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 03/04 | Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 2.NL |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
NK Lucko
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Jadran LP Croatia 2.NL |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | NK Kustosija Croatia 2.NL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/04 | NK Solin Croatia 2.NL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Lucko?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac win (36%). Probabilities: NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 36%, draw 28%, NK Lucko 36%.
How many goals are expected in NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Lucko?
The model expects 2.58 goals (NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1.3 · NK Lucko 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Lucko?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.