Football · Croatia 2.NL · 22/08, 17:30

Prediction: NK Grobnican vs NK Uskok

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

NK Grobnican1.53

NK Uskok1.84

1X2

31% 25% 44%

NK Grobnican Draw NK Uskok

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NK Grobnican 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLDLLW

NK Uskok 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLWLLL

Head-to-head

NK Grobnican 1–1 NK Uskok (2 last)

NK Grobnican3-1NK Uskok
NK Uskok2-1NK Grobnican

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Grobnican 1475 · NK Uskok 1459

	NK Grobnican	Draw	NK Uskok
Our model	31%	24%	44%
Market	31%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Grobnican	NK Uskok
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.5	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7	2.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.50

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:16 +1’	2.90	3.50	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Grobnican 1–0–1 NK Uskok

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Grobnican	3-1	NK Uskok
24/10/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Uskok	2-1 HT 0-1	NK Grobnican

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uljanik	1	1	0	3	2	3
2	Bjelovar	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Dugo Selo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Grobnican	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Inker Zapresic	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Jarun	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Koprivnica	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Lucko	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Krizevci	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Slavonija Pozega	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Solin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Trnje	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Uskok	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Varteks Varazdin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Zagora	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1	0	1	2	3	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Grobnican	NK Uskok
NK Uljanik	5-2 W	3-4 L
NK Trnje	1-5 L	2-1 W
NK Dugo Selo	0-2 L	1-2 L
NK Lucko	2-2 D	1-0 W
NK Kustosija	1-4 L	0-0 D
Bjelovar	2-2 D	0-0 D
HNK Segesta	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Uskok (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Grobnican

WLWDWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	–	5-2	–	–	W
23/05	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-5	7	1	L
16/05	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
09/05	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
01/05	NK Kustosija Croatia 2.NL	1-2	1-4	2	8	L
24/04	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	–	3-1	–	–	W
18/04	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	–	2-2	–	–	D
10/04	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	–	3-2	–	–	W
04/04	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	–	1-4	–	–	L
28/03	NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-1	11	3	W

NK Uskok

LDWDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
23/05	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 2.NL	–	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	2-2	3-4	4	7	L
09/05	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
02/05	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	–	1-2	–	–	L
24/04	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	–	1-3	–	–	L
17/04	NK Kustosija Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
11/04	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	9	7	W
03/04	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
28/03	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	1-3	1-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Grobnican vs NK Uskok?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Uskok win (44%). Probabilities: NK Grobnican 31%, draw 25%, NK Uskok 44%.

How many goals are expected in NK Grobnican vs NK Uskok?

The model expects 3.38 goals (NK Grobnican 1.53 · NK Uskok 1.84), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Grobnican vs NK Uskok?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.