Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 08/11, 10:30

Prediction: FC Petrzalka vs MSK Zilina B

Team pages: FC Petrzalka · MSK Zilina B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

FC Petrzalka1.9

MSK Zilina B0.87

1X2

61% 22% 16%

FC Petrzalka Draw MSK Zilina B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Petrzalka 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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MSK Zilina B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Petrzalka 4–2–0 MSK Zilina B (6 last)

MSK Zilina B0-2FC Petrzalka
MSK Zilina B1-1FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka1-1MSK Zilina B
FC Petrzalka1-0MSK Zilina B
MSK Zilina B0-1FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka5-1MSK Zilina B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Petrzalka 1522 · MSK Zilina B 1488

	FC Petrzalka	Draw	MSK Zilina B
Our model	61%	24%	16%
Market	62%	21%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Petrzalka: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Petrzalka	MSK Zilina B
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.7	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.33

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.45▲	Bet365 1.45
X	4.50 → 4.20▼	Pinn 4.49
2	6.00 → 5.25▼	Pinn 5.86 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +6’	1.42	4.50	6.00
16:18 +5’	1.44▲	4.33▼	5.25▼
12:24 +7’	1.45▲	4.20▼	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:24 +2’	1.44	4.49	5.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Petrzalka 4–2–0 MSK Zilina B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka
15/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Petrzalka
24/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	1-1 HT 0-0	MSK Zilina B
30/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	1-0 HT 1-0	MSK Zilina B
22/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka
17/05/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	5-1 HT 3-1	MSK Zilina B

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	STK Samorin	15	10	3	2	27	16	33
2	FC Petrzalka	15	9	3	3	23	11	30
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	15	9	2	4	29	24	29
4	FK Pohronie	16	8	3	5	28	20	27
5	FC Tatran Presov	15	7	4	4	24	19	25
6	MSK Zilina B	15	7	3	5	21	18	24
7	Slovan Galanta	15	7	2	6	23	26	23
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	15	6	4	5	22	18	22
9	OFK Banik Lehota	16	6	4	6	23	27	22
10	Inter Bratislava	15	5	6	4	33	22	21
11	Slovan Bratislava B	15	4	6	5	22	20	18
12	OFK Malzenice	15	4	4	7	21	23	16
13	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	15	3	5	7	14	19	14
14	FK Humenne	15	3	4	8	14	25	13
15	MFK Zvolen	15	2	3	10	15	24	9
16	MFK Bytca	15	3	0	12	14	41	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Petrzalka	MSK Zilina B
MSK Povazska Bystrica	0-1 L	4-2 W
OFK Banik Lehota	0-1 L	0-1 L
Slovan Bratislava B	1-1 D	2-0 W
STK Samorin	1-1 D	1-2 L
FK Humenne	1-0 W	0-0 D
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Petrzalka

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
24/10	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
18/10	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/10	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
04/10	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
26/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
21/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
12/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-4	8	6	L
05/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W

MSK Zilina B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-3	2-3	3	3	L
25/10	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
19/10	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
11/10	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
03/10	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	1	W
28/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
20/09	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	3-2	4-2	4	1	W
12/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
07/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	2-0	2	0	W
29/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Petrzalka vs MSK Zilina B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Petrzalka win (61%). Probabilities: FC Petrzalka 61%, draw 22%, MSK Zilina B 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Petrzalka vs MSK Zilina B?

The model expects 2.76 goals (FC Petrzalka 1.9 · MSK Zilina B 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Petrzalka vs MSK Zilina B?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.