Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 16/10, 17:00

Prediction: FK Pohronie vs OFK Malzenice

Team pages: FK Pohronie · OFK Malzenice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

FK Pohronie1.76

OFK Malzenice1.08

1X2

53% 25% 23%

FK Pohronie Draw OFK Malzenice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Pohronie 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLLWW

OFK Malzenice 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLWLDL

Head-to-head

FK Pohronie 2–4–0 OFK Malzenice (6 last)

OFK Malzenice0-0FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie0-0OFK Malzenice
FK Pohronie2-0OFK Malzenice
OFK Malzenice2-2FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie1-0OFK Malzenice
OFK Malzenice1-1FK Pohronie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Pohronie 1567 · OFK Malzenice 1448

	FK Pohronie	Draw	OFK Malzenice
Our model	52%	26%	22%
Market	53%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Pohronie (rating 1567 vs 1448).
H2H favours FK Pohronie: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Pohronie	OFK Malzenice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	2.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.4	5.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:00 +14’	1.73	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Pohronie 2–4–0 OFK Malzenice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/11/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Pohronie
25/07/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	0-0 HT 0-0	OFK Malzenice
21/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	2-0 HT 2-0	OFK Malzenice
25/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	2-2 HT 0-0	FK Pohronie
12/04/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	1-0 HT 1-0	OFK Malzenice
24/09/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Pohronie

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	12	9	2	1	22	8	29
2	STK Samorin	12	9	1	2	23	13	28
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	12	7	2	3	25	21	23
4	FK Pohronie	12	7	1	4	21	16	22
5	MSK Zilina B	12	6	2	4	16	13	20
6	Inter Bratislava	12	5	4	3	27	15	19
7	Slovan Galanta	12	6	1	5	18	19	19
8	FC Tatran Presov	12	5	3	4	17	18	18
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	12	4	4	4	17	14	16
10	OFK Banik Lehota	12	4	4	4	18	19	16
11	Slovan Bratislava B	12	4	3	5	18	16	15
12	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	12	3	4	5	13	14	13
13	OFK Malzenice	12	3	2	7	16	21	11
14	MFK Bytca	12	3	0	9	13	31	9
15	FK Humenne	12	2	2	8	7	19	8
16	MFK Zvolen	12	0	3	9	7	21	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Pohronie	OFK Malzenice
Inter Bratislava	0-3 L	2-5 L
FC Petrzalka	0-1 L	1-1 D
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-0 W	1-2 L
MFK Zvolen	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Tatran Presov	3-1 W	0-1 L
Slovan Galanta	0-2 L	0-1 L
MFK Bytca	3-1 W	3-1 W
MSK Zilina B	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Pohronie

LWLWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	7	W
03/10	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
25/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
21/09	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
11/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
05/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
28/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
22/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
14/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	3-1	3-1	6	5	W
09/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	1	L

OFK Malzenice

DLLWLLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-5	7	8	L
04/10	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	1	8	D
27/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	7	W
13/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
05/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
31/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
23/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
16/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	7	8	L
08/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	10	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Pohronie vs OFK Malzenice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Pohronie win (53%). Probabilities: FK Pohronie 53%, draw 25%, OFK Malzenice 23%.

How many goals are expected in FK Pohronie vs OFK Malzenice?

The model expects 2.85 goals (FK Pohronie 1.76 · OFK Malzenice 1.08), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Pohronie vs OFK Malzenice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.