Football · Croatia 2.NL · 22/08, 17:30

Prediction: NK Solin vs NK Dugo Selo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

NK Solin1.66

NK Dugo Selo1.1

1X2

50% 26% 25%

NK Solin Draw NK Dugo Selo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NK Solin 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLDWLLDW

NK Dugo Selo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWLWWW

Head-to-head

NK Solin 2–1–1 NK Dugo Selo (4 last)

NK Dugo Selo1-2NK Solin
NK Solin1-1NK Dugo Selo
NK Solin7-0NK Dugo Selo
NK Dugo Selo4-0NK Solin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Solin 1516 · NK Dugo Selo 1505

	NK Solin	Draw	NK Dugo Selo
Our model	49%	27%	24%
Market	50%	25%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Solin: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Solin	NK Dugo Selo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	0.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/22/22%	29/29/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	1.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.60

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:45 +2’	1.80	3.60	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Solin 2–1–1 NK Dugo Selo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Dugo Selo	1-2	NK Solin
06/09/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Solin	1-1 HT 1-1	NK Dugo Selo
29/03/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Solin	7-0 HT 4-0	NK Dugo Selo
28/09/24 Croatia 2.NL	NK Dugo Selo	4-0 HT 2-0	NK Solin

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uljanik	1	1	0	3	2	3
2	Bjelovar	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Dugo Selo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Grobnican	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Inker Zapresic	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Jarun	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Koprivnica	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Lucko	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Krizevci	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Slavonija Pozega	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Solin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Trnje	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Uskok	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Varteks Varazdin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Zagora	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1	0	1	2	3	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Solin	NK Dugo Selo
NK Uskok	3-1 W	2-1 W
Bjelovar	1-1 D	0-3 L
HNK Segesta	1-2 L	0-1 L
NK Krizevci	1-2 L	1-0 W
NK Croatia Dakovo	5-0 W	0-0 D
Jadran LP	1-1 D	0-2 L
NK Lucko	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Solin (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Solin

WWLLDWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-1	1	2	W
23/05	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
16/05	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
09/05	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	–	1-2	–	–	L
02/05	NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL	3-0	5-0	5	6	W
25/04	Jadran LP Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
17/04	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	0-2	2-3	7	6	L
10/04	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-3	0-6	1	7	L
02/04	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-1	5	8	W
28/03	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 2.NL	2-0	3-1	3	3	W

NK Dugo Selo

LDWLLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
23/05	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	–	2-0	–	–	W
16/05	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
09/05	NK Kustosija Croatia 2.NL	–	0-4	–	–	L
02/05	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
18/04	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
11/04	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
04/04	NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
28/03	Jadran LP Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Solin vs NK Dugo Selo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Solin win (50%). Probabilities: NK Solin 50%, draw 26%, NK Dugo Selo 25%.

How many goals are expected in NK Solin vs NK Dugo Selo?

The model expects 2.76 goals (NK Solin 1.66 · NK Dugo Selo 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Solin vs NK Dugo Selo?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.