Football · Belgium Super League Women · 05/09, 19:00
Prediction: Anderlecht (W) vs Genk (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Anderlecht (W)2.61
Genk (W)0.69
1X2
Anderlecht (W)
Draw
Genk (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Anderlecht (W)
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Genk (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Anderlecht (W)
4–2–0
Genk (W)
(6 last)
- Anderlecht (W)2-1Genk (W)
- Genk (W)1-3Anderlecht (W)
- Anderlecht (W)6-0Genk (W)
- Genk (W)1-1Anderlecht (W)
- Anderlecht (W)4-1Genk (W)
- Genk (W)1-1Anderlecht (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anderlecht (W) 1559 · Genk (W) 1498
| Anderlecht (W) | Draw | Genk (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anderlecht (W) (rating 1559 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Anderlecht (W): 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Anderlecht (W) | Genk (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anderlecht (W) 4–2–0 Genk (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Belgium Super League Women | Anderlecht (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Genk (W) |
| 23/11/25 Belgium Super League Women | Genk (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Anderlecht (W) |
| 20/09/25 Belgium Super League Women | Anderlecht (W) | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Genk (W) |
| 15/02/25 Belgium Cup Women | Genk (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Anderlecht (W) |
| 01/02/25 Belgium Super League Women | Anderlecht (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Genk (W) |
| 09/11/24 Belgium Super League Women | Genk (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Anderlecht (W) |
Standings · Belgium Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gent (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genk (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OH Leuven (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RAAL La Louviere (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anderlecht (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Standard Liege (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zulte-Waregem (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Anderlecht (W) | Genk (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Gent (W) | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Zulte-Waregem (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Genk (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anderlecht (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 14/03 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 21/02 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/02 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Genk (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/03 | Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/02 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anderlecht (W) vs Genk (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Anderlecht (W) win (78%). Probabilities: Anderlecht (W) 78%, draw 14%, Genk (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Anderlecht (W) vs Genk (W)?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Anderlecht (W) 2.61 · Genk (W) 0.69), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Anderlecht (W) vs Genk (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.