Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 15/08, 20:15
Prediction: Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Maribor
Team pages: Olimpija Ljubljana · NK Maribor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Olimpija Ljubljana1.08
NK Maribor1.11
1X2
Olimpija Ljubljana
Draw
NK Maribor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
NK Maribor
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpija Ljubljana
1–3–2
NK Maribor
(6 last)
- Olimpija Ljubljana0-0NK Maribor
- NK Maribor1-1Olimpija Ljubljana
- Olimpija Ljubljana1-0NK Maribor
- Olimpija Ljubljana1-2NK Maribor
- NK Maribor1-0Olimpija Ljubljana
- Olimpija Ljubljana0-0NK Maribor
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Maribor (rating 1443 vs 1502).
- H2H favours NK Maribor: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olimpija Ljubljana | NK Maribor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpija Ljubljana 1–3–2 NK Maribor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | NK Maribor |
| 23/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Maribor | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 31/08/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-0 HT 1-0 | NK Maribor |
| 03/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-2 HT 1-1 | NK Maribor |
| 09/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Maribor | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 10/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | NK Maribor |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Nafta 1903 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | NK Bravo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | NK Maribor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | NK Celje | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | FC Koper | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | NS Mura | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 8 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | NK Aluminij | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | NK Radomlje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olimpija Ljubljana | NK Maribor |
|---|---|---|
| NK Celje | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| NK Aluminij | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| NS Mura | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpija Ljubljana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | LNZ Lebedyn Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | NK Rudes Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | CFR Cluj Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | FK Cukaricki Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | Vllaznia Shkoder Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
NK Maribor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Varteks Varazdin Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/07 | Charlton Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/07 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Maribor?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Maribor win (35%). Probabilities: Olimpija Ljubljana 33%, draw 32%, NK Maribor 35%.
How many goals are expected in Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Maribor?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Olimpija Ljubljana 1.08 · NK Maribor 1.11), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Maribor?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.