Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 16/08, 17:30
Prediction: NK Radomlje vs NK Aluminij
Team pages: NK Radomlje · NK Aluminij
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
NK Radomlje1.39
NK Aluminij1.2
1X2
NK Radomlje
Draw
NK Aluminij
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NK Radomlje
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
NK Aluminij
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Radomlje
2–2–2
NK Aluminij
(6 last)
- NK Aluminij1-2NK Radomlje
- NK Radomlje2-1NK Aluminij
- NK Aluminij2-1NK Radomlje
- NK Radomlje1-2NK Aluminij
- NK Radomlje3-3NK Aluminij
- NK Aluminij1-1NK Radomlje
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Radomlje 1448 · NK Aluminij 1413
| NK Radomlje | Draw | NK Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Radomlje | NK Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 3.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Radomlje 2–2–2 NK Aluminij
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Aluminij | 1-2 HT 0-2 | NK Radomlje |
| 30/01/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Radomlje | 2-1 HT 0-0 | NK Aluminij |
| 26/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Aluminij | 2-1 HT 1-0 | NK Radomlje |
| 18/07/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Radomlje | 1-2 HT 1-1 | NK Aluminij |
| 13/07/24 Europe Friendlies | NK Radomlje | 3-3 HT 2-1 | NK Aluminij |
| 15/04/24 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Aluminij | 1-1 HT 1-0 | NK Radomlje |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Maribor | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 2 | NK Nafta 1903 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | NK Bravo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Koper | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | NK Celje | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | NK Radomlje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 8 | NS Mura | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 9 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | NK Aluminij | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Radomlje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | NK Varazdin Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | HNK Rijeka Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/06 | Dinamo Zagreb Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
NK Aluminij
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | FC Dinamo City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 23/07 | FC Dinamo City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 09/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | Partizan Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Noah Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/06 | Pyunik Yerevan Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Radomlje vs NK Aluminij?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Radomlje win (41%). Probabilities: NK Radomlje 41%, draw 27%, NK Aluminij 32%.
How many goals are expected in NK Radomlje vs NK Aluminij?
The model expects 2.59 goals (NK Radomlje 1.39 · NK Aluminij 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Radomlje vs NK Aluminij?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.