Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 30/08, 18:00

Prediction: Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs SC Kiryat Yam

Team pages: Hapoel Kfar Shalem · SC Kiryat Yam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Hapoel Kfar Shalem1.24

SC Kiryat Yam1.4

1X2

33% 27% 40%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Draw SC Kiryat Yam

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWWWL

SC Kiryat Yam 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLLDWL

Head-to-head

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2–1 SC Kiryat Yam (3 last)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-1SC Kiryat Yam
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1-0SC Kiryat Yam
SC Kiryat Yam2-0Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1488 · SC Kiryat Yam 1488

	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	Draw	SC Kiryat Yam
Our model	32%	29%	39%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hapoel Kfar Shalem: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	SC Kiryat Yam
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.3	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.7	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.40

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.47 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:01 +19’	2.70	3.40	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:50	2.63	3.25	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2–0–1 SC Kiryat Yam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2-1 HT 2-1	SC Kiryat Yam
02/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1-0 HT 0-0	SC Kiryat Yam
28/09/25 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kiryat Yam	2-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	2	2	0	7	2	6
2	Hapoel Raanana	2	2	0	5	2	6
3	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	2	2	0	4	1	6
4	Hapoel Afula	2	2	0	3	0	6
5	SC Kiryat Yam	2	1	1	6	3	3
6	SC Kfar Qasim	2	1	1	4	2	3
7	Ironi Modiin	2	1	1	4	3	3
7	Maccabi Herzliya	2	1	1	4	3	3
9	Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat	2	1	1	3	2	3
10	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2	1	1	3	3	3
11	MS Ashdod	2	1	1	1	2	3
12	Maccabi Bnei Raina	2	1	1	2	4	3
13	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	2	0	2	0	3	0
14	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	2	0	2	2	7	0
15	Hapoel Kfar Saba	2	0	2	1	6	0
16	Hapoel Akko	2	0	2	0	6	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	SC Kiryat Yam
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	1-3 L	0-2 L
Hapoel Rishon Lezion	6-2 W	2-1 W
Hapoel Ramat Gan	1-2 L	0-1 L
Maccabi Herzliya	2-4 L	0-0 D
Hapoel Kfar Saba	2-4 L	2-0 W
Maccabi Petah Tikva	3-2 W	0-0 D
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	1-4 L	6-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Kiryat Yam (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

LWLLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
18/08	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
25/05	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	6-2	6	3	W
20/05	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	2-1	9	3	W
15/05	Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
08/05	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
05/05	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-4	2	6	L
30/04	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	2-4	6	9	L
24/04	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
17/04	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-4	5	7	L

SC Kiryat Yam

LDLWWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
18/08	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	3-1	6-2	7	7	W
25/05	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
20/05	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	1-2	6	3	L
15/05	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
11/05	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
05/05	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
01/05	Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
27/04	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
17/04	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	1-2	3	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs SC Kiryat Yam?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Kiryat Yam win (40%). Probabilities: Hapoel Kfar Shalem 33%, draw 27%, SC Kiryat Yam 40%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs SC Kiryat Yam?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1.24 · SC Kiryat Yam 1.4), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs SC Kiryat Yam?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.