Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 06/09, 18:00
Prediction: Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Team pages: Hapoel Afula · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Hapoel Afula1.68
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1.46
1X2
Hapoel Afula
Draw
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Afula
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Afula
1–1–4
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
(6 last)
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa4-1Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula0-5Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-2Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula0-3Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-0Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula2-2Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Afula 1496 · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1494
| Hapoel Afula | Draw | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Afula | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 3.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.7 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Afula 1–1–4 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 20/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 17/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 14/08/25 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Afula | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 09/05/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 17/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Hapoel Afula | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Hapoel Raanana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | MS Ashdod | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Ironi Modiin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | SC Kiryat Yam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | SC Kfar Qasim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Maccabi Herzliya | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Afula | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Raanana | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| MS Ashdod | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| SC Kfar Qasim | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Hapoel Hadera | 1-1 D | 6-1 W |
| Hapoel Akko | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Ironi Modiin | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Afula (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Afula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 08/05 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga |
4-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/05 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 30/04 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Afula win (41%). Probabilities: Hapoel Afula 41%, draw 27%, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 32%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Hapoel Afula 1.68 · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.