Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 30/08, 18:00
Prediction: Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs SC Kfar Qasim
Team pages: Hapoel Rishon Lezion · SC Kfar Qasim
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Hapoel Rishon Lezion1.66
SC Kfar Qasim1.14
1X2
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Draw
SC Kfar Qasim
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
SC Kfar Qasim
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
2–1–3
SC Kfar Qasim
(6 last)
- SC Kfar Qasim2-3Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion0-2SC Kfar Qasim
- SC Kfar Qasim3-0Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- SC Kfar Qasim0-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion0-1SC Kfar Qasim
- SC Kfar Qasim1-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1447 · SC Kfar Qasim 1478
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | Draw | SC Kfar Qasim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SC Kfar Qasim: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | SC Kfar Qasim | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 2–1–3 SC Kfar Qasim
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/26 Israel League Cup | SC Kfar Qasim | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 30/03/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 0-2 HT 0-1 | SC Kfar Qasim |
| 31/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga | SC Kfar Qasim | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 04/08/25 Israel League Cup | SC Kfar Qasim | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 06/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 0-1 HT 0-1 | SC Kfar Qasim |
| 29/08/24 Israel Leumit Liga | SC Kfar Qasim | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hapoel Raanana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | SC Kiryat Yam | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | SC Kfar Qasim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Ironi Modiin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Maccabi Herzliya | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | MS Ashdod | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
SC Kfar Qasim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs SC Kfar Qasim?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Rishon Lezion win (48%). Probabilities: Hapoel Rishon Lezion 48%, draw 27%, SC Kfar Qasim 25%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs SC Kfar Qasim?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1.66 · SC Kfar Qasim 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs SC Kfar Qasim?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.