Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 30/08, 18:00
Prediction: Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
Team pages: Maccabi Herzliya · Hapoel Kfar Saba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Maccabi Herzliya1.89
Hapoel Kfar Saba1.5
1X2
Maccabi Herzliya
Draw
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Herzliya
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Kfar Saba
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Herzliya
4–2–0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
(6 last)
- Maccabi Herzliya5-3Hapoel Kfar Saba
- Maccabi Herzliya1-1Hapoel Kfar Saba
- Hapoel Kfar Saba1-2Maccabi Herzliya
- Maccabi Herzliya2-2Hapoel Kfar Saba
- Hapoel Kfar Saba1-2Maccabi Herzliya
- Maccabi Herzliya2-0Hapoel Kfar Saba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Herzliya 1520 · Hapoel Kfar Saba 1464
| Maccabi Herzliya | Draw | Hapoel Kfar Saba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Herzliya (rating 1520 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Maccabi Herzliya: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Herzliya | Hapoel Kfar Saba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.1 | 2.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Herzliya 4–2–0 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 Israel League Cup | Maccabi Herzliya | 5-3 HT 2-1 | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
| 20/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Herzliya | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
| 16/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Herzliya |
| 12/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Herzliya | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
| 04/08/25 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Maccabi Herzliya |
| 05/05/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Herzliya | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hapoel Raanana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | SC Kiryat Yam | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | SC Kfar Qasim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Ironi Modiin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Maccabi Herzliya | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | MS Ashdod | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Herzliya | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
|---|---|---|
| Ironi Modiin | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 4-2 W | 4-2 W |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| SC Kiryat Yam | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Herzliya (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Herzliya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 18/08 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 27/04 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Herzliya win (45%). Probabilities: Maccabi Herzliya 45%, draw 25%, Hapoel Kfar Saba 29%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Maccabi Herzliya 1.89 · Hapoel Kfar Saba 1.5), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.