Football · Israel Premier League · 02/11, 19:30
Prediction: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
Team pages: Hapoel Tel Aviv · Maccabi Haifa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.96
Maccabi Haifa1.45
1X2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw
Maccabi Haifa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Tel Aviv
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Haifa
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2–2–2
Maccabi Haifa
(6 last)
- Maccabi Haifa4-1Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv4-0Maccabi Haifa
- Hapoel Tel Aviv2-0Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa2-1Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Haifa0-0Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv0-0Maccabi Haifa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1553 · Maccabi Haifa 1563
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Maccabi Haifa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Haifa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 2.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.7 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–2–2 Maccabi Haifa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 29/04/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 06/04/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 02/12/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 17/03/24 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 31/12/23 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Maccabi Haifa | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 9 |
| 9 | Hapoel Haifa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 10 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 7 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Haifa |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Ironi Tiberias | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
Maccabi Haifa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 17/10 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/10 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Tel Aviv win (48%). Probabilities: Hapoel Tel Aviv 48%, draw 24%, Maccabi Haifa 27%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.96 · Maccabi Haifa 1.45), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.