Football · Poland I Liga · 05/09, 15:30

Prediction: Stal Rzeszow vs Polonia Warsaw

Team pages: Stal Rzeszow · Polonia Warsaw

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Stal Rzeszow1.75

Polonia Warsaw1.58

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Stal Rzeszow Draw Polonia Warsaw

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Stal Rzeszow 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLDDLW

Polonia Warsaw 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Stal Rzeszow 1–1–4 Polonia Warsaw (6 last)

Stal Rzeszow0-2Polonia Warsaw
Polonia Warsaw2-3Stal Rzeszow
Stal Rzeszow1-2Polonia Warsaw
Polonia Warsaw1-0Stal Rzeszow
Stal Rzeszow1-2Polonia Warsaw
Polonia Warsaw2-2Stal Rzeszow

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Polonia Warsaw: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stal Rzeszow	Polonia Warsaw
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.3	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	3.9 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.86

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.32▼	Pinn 3.32
X	3.75 → 3.70▼	Pinn 3.70
2	1.97 → 2.01▲	Pinn 2.01

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:58 +13’	3.40	3.75	1.97
06:53 +1’	3.32▼	3.70▼	2.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Rzeszow 1–1–4 Polonia Warsaw

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Poland I Liga	Stal Rzeszow	0-2 HT 0-0	Polonia Warsaw
03/10/25 Poland I Liga	Polonia Warsaw	2-3 HT 0-2	Stal Rzeszow
10/05/25 Poland I Liga	Stal Rzeszow	1-2 HT 0-2	Polonia Warsaw
04/11/24 Poland I Liga	Polonia Warsaw	1-0 HT 0-0	Stal Rzeszow
26/05/24 Poland I Liga	Stal Rzeszow	1-2 HT 1-1	Polonia Warsaw
01/12/23 Poland I Liga	Polonia Warsaw	2-2 HT 2-1	Stal Rzeszow

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Miedz Legnica	6	4	1	1	10	3	13
2	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	6	3	3	0	10	5	12
3	LKS Lodz	6	3	2	1	10	5	11
4	Polonia Warsaw	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
5	Arka Gdynia	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
6	Warta Poznan	6	3	0	3	11	10	9
7	MKP Pogon Siedlce	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
8	Odra Opole	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
9	Stal Mielec	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
10	Chrobry Glogow	5	2	1	2	8	5	7
11	Termalica BB Nieciecza	6	2	1	3	9	10	7
12	Ruch Chorzow	5	2	1	2	3	5	7
13	Lechia Gdansk	6	2	1	3	7	11	7
14	Puszcza Niepolomice	6	2	0	4	5	7	6
15	Unia Skierniewice	6	2	0	4	5	9	6
16	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	6	0	5	1	8	10	5
17	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5
18	Stal Rzeszow	6	1	2	3	4	12	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stal Rzeszow	Polonia Warsaw
Unia Skierniewice	1-0 W	3-1 W
Ruch Chorzow	0-1 L	1-1 D
Wieczysta Krakow	1-5 L	2-3 L
MKP Pogon Siedlce	2-1 W	0-1 L
Wisla Krakow	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Polonia Warsaw (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stal Rzeszow

LWLDLLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/08	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
14/08	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
08/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
01/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-1	0-4	10	3	L
25/07	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	0-1	1-5	7	3	L
24/05	GKS Tychy 71 Poland I Liga	1-1	3-3	3	2	D
16/05	Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga	1-3	1-5	4	4	L
10/05	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
03/05	Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga	1-0	1-2	5	1	L

Polonia Warsaw

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga	1-1	2-4	6	2	L
22/08	Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
15/08	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	13	6	L
07/08	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
01/08	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-1	3-1	9	5	W
26/07	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
28/05	Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga	1-2	2-3	5	3	L
24/05	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	0-1	2-1	10	6	W
15/05	Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
10/05	Gornik Leczna Poland I Liga	1-0	2-1	8	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stal Rzeszow vs Polonia Warsaw?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stal Rzeszow win (41%). Probabilities: Stal Rzeszow 41%, draw 25%, Polonia Warsaw 34%.

How many goals are expected in Stal Rzeszow vs Polonia Warsaw?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Stal Rzeszow 1.75 · Polonia Warsaw 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stal Rzeszow vs Polonia Warsaw?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.