Football · Poland I Liga · 12/09, 15:30
Prediction: Chrobry Glogow vs MKP Pogon Siedlce
Team pages: Chrobry Glogow · MKP Pogon Siedlce
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Chrobry Glogow1.92
MKP Pogon Siedlce0.95
1X2
Chrobry Glogow
Draw
MKP Pogon Siedlce
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Chrobry Glogow
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
MKP Pogon Siedlce
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chrobry Glogow
5–1
MKP Pogon Siedlce
(6 last)
- MKP Pogon Siedlce1-2Chrobry Glogow
- Chrobry Glogow2-1MKP Pogon Siedlce
- Chrobry Glogow1-0MKP Pogon Siedlce
- MKP Pogon Siedlce1-2Chrobry Glogow
- MKP Pogon Siedlce3-1Chrobry Glogow
- MKP Pogon Siedlce1-2Chrobry Glogow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chrobry Glogow (rating 1539 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Chrobry Glogow: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chrobry Glogow | MKP Pogon Siedlce | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.7 | 1.2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chrobry Glogow 5–0–1 MKP Pogon Siedlce
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Chrobry Glogow |
| 12/09/25 Poland I Liga | Chrobry Glogow | 2-1 HT 0-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
| 01/12/24 Poland I Liga | Chrobry Glogow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
| 20/07/24 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Chrobry Glogow |
| 20/10/22 Poland Cup | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Chrobry Glogow |
| 30/10/18 Poland Cup | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Chrobry Glogow |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Polonia Warsaw | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| 7 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Warta Poznan | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Odra Opole | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Stal Mielec | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 9 |
| 11 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Stal Rzeszow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Ruch Chorzow | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 15 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Polonia Bytom | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chrobry Glogow | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
|---|---|---|
| LKS Lodz | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Stal Rzeszow | 5-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chrobry Glogow (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chrobry Glogow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 28/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Znicz Pruszków Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
MKP Pogon Siedlce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chrobry Glogow vs MKP Pogon Siedlce?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chrobry Glogow win (59%). Probabilities: Chrobry Glogow 59%, draw 24%, MKP Pogon Siedlce 17%.
How many goals are expected in Chrobry Glogow vs MKP Pogon Siedlce?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Chrobry Glogow 1.92 · MKP Pogon Siedlce 0.95), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chrobry Glogow vs MKP Pogon Siedlce?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.