Football · Poland I Liga · 19/09, 15:30

Prediction: Polonia Warsaw vs Chrobry Glogow

Team pages: Polonia Warsaw · Chrobry Glogow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Polonia Warsaw1.41

Chrobry Glogow1.13

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Polonia Warsaw Draw Chrobry Glogow

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Polonia Warsaw 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLWLLD

Chrobry Glogow 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWLWDWDD

Head-to-head

Polonia Warsaw 4–1–1 Chrobry Glogow (6 last)

Polonia Warsaw1-0Chrobry Glogow
Chrobry Glogow2-0Polonia Warsaw
Polonia Warsaw4-2Chrobry Glogow
Chrobry Glogow1-2Polonia Warsaw
Chrobry Glogow1-2Polonia Warsaw
Polonia Warsaw1-1Chrobry Glogow

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Polonia Warsaw: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polonia Warsaw	Chrobry Glogow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.81 → 1.81	Pinn 1.81
X	3.69 → 3.69	Pinn 3.69
2	4.07 → 4.07	Pinn 4.07

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:12 +164’	1.81	3.69	4.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polonia Warsaw 4–1–1 Chrobry Glogow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Poland I Liga	Polonia Warsaw	1-0 HT 0-0	Chrobry Glogow
18/10/25 Poland I Liga	Chrobry Glogow	2-0 HT 0-0	Polonia Warsaw
29/03/25 Poland I Liga	Polonia Warsaw	4-2 HT 1-2	Chrobry Glogow
25/09/24 Poland Cup	Chrobry Glogow	1-2 HT 0-1	Polonia Warsaw
30/08/24 Poland I Liga	Chrobry Glogow	1-2 HT 0-1	Polonia Warsaw
03/03/24 Poland I Liga	Polonia Warsaw	1-1 HT 1-1	Chrobry Glogow

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	LKS Lodz	8	4	3	1	13	7	15
2	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	7	4	3	0	11	5	15
3	Miedz Legnica	7	4	2	1	11	4	14
4	Chrobry Glogow	8	3	3	2	11	6	12
5	Warta Poznan	8	4	0	4	14	11	12
6	Polonia Warsaw	8	3	2	3	13	12	11
7	Arka Gdynia	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
8	Ruch Chorzow	8	3	2	3	9	11	11
9	Termalica BB Nieciecza	7	3	1	3	11	11	10
10	MKP Pogon Siedlce	7	2	3	2	7	6	9
11	Odra Opole	7	2	3	2	7	7	9
12	Stal Mielec	7	2	3	2	12	14	9
13	Polonia Bytom	8	1	5	2	14	17	8
14	Stal Rzeszow	7	2	2	3	6	13	8
15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	8	0	7	1	11	13	7
16	Lechia Gdansk	7	2	1	4	8	13	7
17	Puszcza Niepolomice	7	2	0	5	6	9	6
18	Unia Skierniewice	7	2	0	5	6	12	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polonia Warsaw	Chrobry Glogow
Stal Rzeszow	1-2 L	5-1 W
MKP Pogon Siedlce	0-1 L	0-0 D
Ruch Chorzow	1-1 D	2-0 W
Wieczysta Krakow	2-3 L	1-2 L
Odra Opole	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chrobry Glogow (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polonia Warsaw

WLWWDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
05/09	Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga	0-2	1-2	2	6	L
29/08	Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga	1-1	2-4	6	2	L
22/08	Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
15/08	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	13	6	L
07/08	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
01/08	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-1	3-1	9	5	W
26/07	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
28/05	Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga	1-2	2-3	5	3	L
24/05	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	0-1	2-1	10	6	W

Chrobry Glogow

DDLWLWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
05/09	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
30/08	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
15/08	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
09/08	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
03/08	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
25/07	Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga	1-0	5-1	1	3	W
31/05	Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga	1-1	1-2	9	5	L
28/05	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
24/05	Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga	1-1	1-1	3	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polonia Warsaw vs Chrobry Glogow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Polonia Warsaw win (42%). Probabilities: Polonia Warsaw 42%, draw 29%, Chrobry Glogow 29%.

How many goals are expected in Polonia Warsaw vs Chrobry Glogow?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Polonia Warsaw 1.41 · Chrobry Glogow 1.13), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Polonia Warsaw vs Chrobry Glogow?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.