Football · Poland I Liga · 18/09, 20:45
Prediction: Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow
Team pages: Polonia Bytom · Ruch Chorzow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Polonia Bytom1.48
Ruch Chorzow1.64
1X2
Polonia Bytom
Draw
Ruch Chorzow
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Polonia Bytom
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Ruch Chorzow
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polonia Bytom
0–2–4
Ruch Chorzow
(6 last)
- Polonia Bytom0-1Ruch Chorzow
- Polonia Bytom0-4Ruch Chorzow
- Ruch Chorzow1-1Polonia Bytom
- Polonia Bytom1-2Ruch Chorzow
- Polonia Bytom1-1Ruch Chorzow
- Polonia Bytom1-3Ruch Chorzow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ruch Chorzow (rating 1440 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Ruch Chorzow: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polonia Bytom | Ruch Chorzow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polonia Bytom 0–2–4 Ruch Chorzow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Poland I Liga | Polonia Bytom | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ruch Chorzow |
| 21/01/26 Europe Friendlies | Polonia Bytom | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Ruch Chorzow |
| 24/08/25 Poland I Liga | Ruch Chorzow | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Polonia Bytom |
| 17/01/25 Europe Friendlies | Polonia Bytom | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Ruch Chorzow |
| 17/01/24 Europe Friendlies | Polonia Bytom | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Ruch Chorzow |
| 14/01/23 Europe Friendlies | Polonia Bytom | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Ruch Chorzow |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Miedz Legnica | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Polonia Warsaw | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 7 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Ruch Chorzow | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Warta Poznan | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Odra Opole | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 9 |
| 12 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Polonia Bytom | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | Stal Rzeszow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Unia Skierniewice | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Polonia Bytom | Ruch Chorzow |
|---|---|---|
| Polonia Warsaw | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 0-0 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polonia Bytom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Ruch Chorzow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 14/08 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Znicz Pruszków Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ruch Chorzow win (41%). Probabilities: Polonia Bytom 34%, draw 26%, Ruch Chorzow 41%.
How many goals are expected in Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Polonia Bytom 1.48 · Ruch Chorzow 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.