Football · Uzbekistan 1st Division · 21/09, 13:00

Prediction: FC Lochin vs Respublika FA

Team pages: FC Lochin · Respublika FA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

FC Lochin1.79

Respublika FA1.02

1X2

55% 24% 21%

FC Lochin Draw Respublika FA

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Lochin 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLWWDL

Respublika FA 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Lochin 0–1–0 Respublika FA (1 last)

Respublika FA0-0FC Lochin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Lochin 1500 · Respublika FA 1494

	FC Lochin	Draw	Respublika FA
Our model	54%	25%	20%
Market	55%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Lochin	Respublika FA
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/17/67%	38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.7	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.61▲	Pinn 1.74 ★
X	3.90 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
2	4.50 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:50 +18’	1.57	3.90	4.50
11:57 +3’	1.61▲	3.80▼	4.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:01 +59’	1.59	3.69	4.42
11:58 +2’	1.74▲	3.51▼	3.98▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lochin 0–1–0 Respublika FA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Uzbekistan 1st Division	Respublika FA	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Lochin

Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Orol Nukus	20	15	4	1	42	13	49
2	Shurtan	20	13	3	4	35	19	42
3	Metallurg Bekabad	20	12	4	4	46	16	40
4	Fardu Ferghana	19	10	6	3	34	26	36
5	Kattaqorgon	19	10	3	6	24	17	33
6	FC Lochin	20	9	5	6	26	23	32
7	Olympic Mobiuz	18	9	4	5	34	20	31
8	Gazalkent	19	8	5	6	32	22	29
9	Jayxun	20	7	3	10	22	25	24
10	FC Yaypan Fergana	20	6	4	10	23	37	22
11	Respublika FA	19	6	4	9	25	29	22
12	BuxDu	19	3	1	15	15	45	10
13	Pakhtakor Tashkent II	20	3	1	16	13	46	10
14	PFC Terdu	19	1	1	17	11	44	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Lochin	Respublika FA
FK Orol Nukus	0-2 L	0-0 D
Gazalkent	1-1 D	0-7 L
Shurtan	1-0 W	1-2 L
Jayxun	1-0 W	1-2 L
Pakhtakor Tashkent II	1-2 L	3-0 W
PFC Terdu	2-1 W	4-2 W
Metallurg Bekabad	0-5 L	1-3 L
Fardu Ferghana	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Respublika FA (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lochin

WLLDWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
06/09	Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/08	Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	1-0	1	5	W
15/08	Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
10/08	PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
05/08	FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
31/07	Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-1	0-5	2	3	L
25/07	Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
18/07	Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division	2-1	3-2	4	4	W

Respublika FA

WWLLLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
12/09	Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division	1-1	2-3	5	4	L
07/09	Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
10/08	FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
04/08	Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-2	0-7	2	6	L
30/07	Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-2	1-2	6	0	L
25/07	Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
08/06	Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division	0-0	3-0	9	3	W
04/06	PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division	3-0	4-2	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lochin vs Respublika FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lochin win (55%). Probabilities: FC Lochin 55%, draw 24%, Respublika FA 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lochin vs Respublika FA?

The model expects 2.81 goals (FC Lochin 1.79 · Respublika FA 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lochin vs Respublika FA?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.