Football · Israel League Cup · 03/08, 19:00

Prediction: Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Team pages: Maccabi Herzliya · Hapoel Kfar Saba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Maccabi Herzliya1.64

Hapoel Kfar Saba1.3

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Maccabi Herzliya Draw Hapoel Kfar Saba

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Herzliya 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLWDDW

Hapoel Kfar Saba 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLDDDDLW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Herzliya 4–2–0 Hapoel Kfar Saba (6 last)

Maccabi Herzliya1-1Hapoel Kfar Saba
Hapoel Kfar Saba1-2Maccabi Herzliya
Maccabi Herzliya2-2Hapoel Kfar Saba
Hapoel Kfar Saba1-2Maccabi Herzliya
Maccabi Herzliya2-0Hapoel Kfar Saba
Hapoel Kfar Saba0-1Maccabi Herzliya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Herzliya 1543 · Hapoel Kfar Saba 1494

	Maccabi Herzliya	Draw	Hapoel Kfar Saba
Our model	44%	26%	29%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Herzliya (rating 1543 vs 1494).
H2H favours Maccabi Herzliya: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Herzliya	Hapoel Kfar Saba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.7	2.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	3.60 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.30 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +4’	1.83	3.40	3.60
15:01 +2’	2.05▲	3.30▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:01 +2’	2.05	3.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Herzliya 4–2–0 Hapoel Kfar Saba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Herzliya	1-1 HT 1-1	Hapoel Kfar Saba
16/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Saba	1-2 HT 1-1	Maccabi Herzliya
12/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Herzliya	2-2 HT 1-2	Hapoel Kfar Saba
04/08/25 Israel League Cup	Hapoel Kfar Saba	1-2 HT 1-2	Maccabi Herzliya
05/05/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Herzliya	2-0 HT 2-0	Hapoel Kfar Saba
28/03/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Saba	0-1 HT 0-0	Maccabi Herzliya

Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hapoel Kfar Saba	1	1	0	3	1	3
2	Maccabi Herzliya	1	1	0	2	0	3
3	Hapoel Afula	1	0	1	1	3	0
4	Hapoel Raanana	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Herzliya	Hapoel Kfar Saba
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	1-1 D	1-3 L
Hapoel Rishon Lezion	2-1 W	5-0 W
Hapoel Ramat Gan	0-3 L	1-1 D
Hapoel Kfar Shalem	4-2 W	4-2 W
Maccabi Petah Tikva	2-1 W	2-2 D
SC Kiryat Yam	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Herzliya (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Maccabi Herzliya

DLDWWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Hapoel Raanana Israel League Cup	0-0	2-0	1	5	W
25/05	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	1	10	D
20/05	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
15/05	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
08/05	Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
05/05	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	4-2	3	6	W
01/05	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
27/04	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
17/04	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
14/04	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D

Hapoel Kfar Saba

WWLLDDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Hapoel Afula Israel League Cup	2-1	3-1	2	2	W
21/07	Maccabi Haifa Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-5	2	0	L
17/07	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
25/05	Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
20/05	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
15/05	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
11/05	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
05/05	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
30/04	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	4-2	7	9	W
27/04	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	3-0	5-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Herzliya win (44%). Probabilities: Maccabi Herzliya 44%, draw 27%, Hapoel Kfar Saba 29%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Maccabi Herzliya 1.64 · Hapoel Kfar Saba 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.