Football · Israel League Cup · 03/08, 19:00
Prediction: Maccabi Achi Nazareth vs Hapoel Akko
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Maccabi Achi Nazareth1.18
Hapoel Akko1.13
1X2
Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Draw
Hapoel Akko
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Achi Nazareth
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Akko
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Achi Nazareth
4–1–1
Hapoel Akko
(6 last)
- Hapoel Akko0-2Maccabi Achi Nazareth
- Maccabi Achi Nazareth2-0Hapoel Akko
- Hapoel Akko2-1Maccabi Achi Nazareth
- Maccabi Achi Nazareth4-1Hapoel Akko
- Maccabi Achi Nazareth1-0Hapoel Akko
- Maccabi Achi Nazareth1-1Hapoel Akko
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Achi Nazareth 1560 · Hapoel Akko 1497
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | Draw | Hapoel Akko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Achi Nazareth (rating 1560 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Maccabi Achi Nazareth: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | Hapoel Akko | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/38/13% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Achi Nazareth 4–1–1 Hapoel Akko
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/23 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Akko | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth |
| 19/09/22 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Akko |
| 01/08/22 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Akko | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth |
| 14/04/22 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Akko |
| 30/01/22 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Akko |
| 17/12/21 Israel Cup | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Akko |
Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Akko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | SC Kiryat Yam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Achi Nazareth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/02 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/02 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
3-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 06/02 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/01 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/01 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/01 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
3-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 10/01 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/01 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/01 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Hapoel Akko
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 14/05 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Achi Nazareth vs Hapoel Akko?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Achi Nazareth win (36%). Probabilities: Maccabi Achi Nazareth 36%, draw 29%, Hapoel Akko 34%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Achi Nazareth vs Hapoel Akko?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Maccabi Achi Nazareth 1.18 · Hapoel Akko 1.13), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Achi Nazareth vs Hapoel Akko?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.