Football · Japan J2-League · 05/09, 12:00
Prediction: Montedio Yamagata vs Ventforet Kofu
Team pages: Montedio Yamagata · Ventforet Kofu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Montedio Yamagata1.96
Ventforet Kofu0.85
1X2
Montedio Yamagata
Draw
Ventforet Kofu
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Montedio Yamagata
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Ventforet Kofu
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montedio Yamagata
4–2
Ventforet Kofu
(6 last)
- Ventforet Kofu1-3Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata0-4Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu1-2Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata0-1Ventforet Kofu
- Montedio Yamagata2-1Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu1-2Montedio Yamagata
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montedio Yamagata (rating 1553 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Montedio Yamagata: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montedio Yamagata | Ventforet Kofu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montedio Yamagata 4–0–2 Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 25/05/25 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 28/09/24 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 16/03/24 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 12/11/23 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 18/02/23 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Montedio Yamagata |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Montedio Yamagata | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Fujieda MYFC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Shonan Bellmare | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Vegalta Sendai | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Jubilo Iwata | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Yokohama FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Kataller Toyama | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Oita | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Blaublitz Akita | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Tokushima Vortis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Ventforet Kofu | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Iwaki FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 19 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | FC Imabari | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montedio Yamagata | Ventforet Kofu |
|---|---|---|
| Fujieda MYFC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Montedio Yamagata (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/11 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/11 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/11 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 02/11 | Oita Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 26/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/10 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 29/11 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/11 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/11 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/11 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montedio Yamagata vs Ventforet Kofu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montedio Yamagata win (62%). Probabilities: Montedio Yamagata 62%, draw 23%, Ventforet Kofu 15%.
How many goals are expected in Montedio Yamagata vs Ventforet Kofu?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Montedio Yamagata 1.96 · Ventforet Kofu 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Montedio Yamagata vs Ventforet Kofu?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.