Football · Japan J2-League · 12/09, 12:00
Prediction: Omiya Ardija vs Oita
Team pages: Omiya Ardija · Oita
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Omiya Ardija1.85
Oita0.87
1X2
Omiya Ardija
Draw
Oita
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Omiya Ardija
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Oita
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Omiya Ardija
2–4–0
Oita
(6 last)
- Oita0-0Omiya Ardija
- Omiya Ardija2-2Oita
- Oita0-1Omiya Ardija
- Omiya Ardija3-0Oita
- Omiya Ardija2-2Oita
- Oita1-1Omiya Ardija
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omiya Ardija (rating 1543 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Omiya Ardija: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Omiya Ardija | Oita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 5.1 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.4 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omiya Ardija 2–4–0 Oita
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/25 Japan J2-League | Oita | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Omiya Ardija |
| 05/04/25 Japan J2-League | Omiya Ardija | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Oita |
| 30/09/23 Japan J2-League | Oita | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Omiya Ardija |
| 25/03/23 Japan J2-League | Omiya Ardija | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Oita |
| 14/09/22 Japan J2-League | Omiya Ardija | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Oita |
| 04/05/22 Japan J2-League | Oita | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Omiya Ardija |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Yokohama FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Vegalta Sendai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Fujieda MYFC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Tochigi City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Kataller Toyama | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Albirex Niigata | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| 9 | Sagan Tosu | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Shonan Bellmare | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Ventforet Kofu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Oita | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 | Blaublitz Akita | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Iwaki FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
| 19 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | FC Imabari | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Omiya Ardija | Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Shonan Bellmare | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Imabari | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Tokushima Vortis | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Mito Hollyhock | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Omiya Ardija (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omiya Ardija
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 07/12 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/11 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/11 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 09/11 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/11 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/11 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/11 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/11 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/10 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omiya Ardija vs Oita?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Omiya Ardija win (59%). Probabilities: Omiya Ardija 59%, draw 24%, Oita 16%.
How many goals are expected in Omiya Ardija vs Oita?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Omiya Ardija 1.85 · Oita 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Omiya Ardija vs Oita?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.