Football · Japan J2-League · 03/10, 10:00
Prediction: Oita vs Montedio Yamagata
Team pages: Oita · Montedio Yamagata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Oita0.95
Montedio Yamagata0.98
1X2
Oita
Draw
Montedio Yamagata
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Oita
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Montedio Yamagata
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oita
1–1–4
Montedio Yamagata
(6 last)
- Oita1-0Montedio Yamagata
- Oita1-2Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata3-0Oita
- Oita0-3Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata0-0Oita
- Oita0-1Montedio Yamagata
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montedio Yamagata (rating 1460 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Montedio Yamagata: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oita | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oita 1–1–4 Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Oita | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 02/11/25 Japan J2-League | Oita | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 06/05/25 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Oita |
| 07/09/24 Japan J2-League | Oita | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 09/06/24 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Oita |
| 29/07/23 Japan J2-League | Oita | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Shonan Bellmare | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Kataller Toyama | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Tokushima Vortis | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Montedio Yamagata | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 9 | Fujieda MYFC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Tochigi City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| 12 | Blaublitz Akita | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Jubilo Iwata | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 10 |
| 15 | Iwaki FC | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 16 | Oita | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | Ventforet Kofu | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 7 |
| 19 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 5 |
| 20 | FC Imabari | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oita | Montedio Yamagata |
|---|---|---|
| Fujieda MYFC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Imabari | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Shonan Bellmare | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Montedio Yamagata (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 19/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/11 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/11 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/11 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/11 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oita vs Montedio Yamagata?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Montedio Yamagata win (34%). Probabilities: Oita 32%, draw 34%, Montedio Yamagata 34%.
How many goals are expected in Oita vs Montedio Yamagata?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Oita 0.95 · Montedio Yamagata 0.98), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Oita vs Montedio Yamagata?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.