Football · Japan J2-League · 11/10, 06:05
Prediction: Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai
Team pages: Montedio Yamagata · Vegalta Sendai
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Montedio Yamagata1.16
Vegalta Sendai1.35
1X2
Montedio Yamagata
Draw
Vegalta Sendai
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Montedio Yamagata
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Vegalta Sendai
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montedio Yamagata
0–1–5
Vegalta Sendai
(6 last)
- Vegalta Sendai1-0Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata0-1Vegalta Sendai
- Vegalta Sendai3-1Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata3-4Vegalta Sendai
- Montedio Yamagata1-1Vegalta Sendai
- Vegalta Sendai2-0Montedio Yamagata
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vegalta Sendai (rating 1476 vs 1560).
- H2H favours Vegalta Sendai: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montedio Yamagata | Vegalta Sendai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 3.3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montedio Yamagata 0–1–5 Vegalta Sendai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Vegalta Sendai | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 22/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Montedio Yamagata | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 20/09/25 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 15/06/25 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 3-4 HT 2-2 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 22/06/24 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 13/04/24 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki FC | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 18 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 8 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montedio Yamagata | Vegalta Sendai |
|---|---|---|
| Oita | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Shonan Bellmare | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Tochigi City | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Fujieda MYFC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vegalta Sendai (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/11 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Vegalta Sendai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 26/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/11 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vegalta Sendai win (40%). Probabilities: Montedio Yamagata 31%, draw 29%, Vegalta Sendai 40%.
How many goals are expected in Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Montedio Yamagata 1.16 · Vegalta Sendai 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.