Football · Japan J2-League · 10/10, 11:00

Prediction: Jubilo Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Team pages: Jubilo Iwata · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Jubilo Iwata1.79

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo0.99

1X2

55% 25% 19%

Jubilo Iwata Draw Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Jubilo Iwata 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWLWLL

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLDDL

Head-to-head

Jubilo Iwata 3–3 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (6 last)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo0-1Jubilo Iwata
Jubilo Iwata0-1Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Jubilo Iwata5-1Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo2-4Jubilo Iwata
Jubilo Iwata0-2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1-0Jubilo Iwata

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jubilo Iwata (rating 1523 vs 1457).
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jubilo Iwata	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.6	3.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.68 → 1.69▲	Pinn 1.69
X	4.02 → 4.08▲	Pinn 4.08
2	4.20 → 4.26▲	Pinn 4.26

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:15 +34’	1.68	4.02	4.20
09:13 +62’	1.69▲	4.08▲	4.26▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jubilo Iwata 3–0–3 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	0-1 HT 0-1	Jubilo Iwata
14/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Jubilo Iwata	0-1 HT 0-0	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
12/07/25 Japan J2-League	Jubilo Iwata	5-1 HT 3-1	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
06/05/25 Japan J2-League	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	2-4 HT 0-3	Jubilo Iwata
25/08/24 Japan J-League	Jubilo Iwata	0-2 HT 0-1	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
15/05/24 Japan J-League	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	1-0 HT 1-0	Jubilo Iwata

Standings · Japan J2-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	9	6	1	2	13	13	19
2	Kataller Toyama	9	5	2	2	18	9	17
3	Vegalta Sendai	8	5	2	1	15	7	17
4	Yokohama FC	9	5	2	2	18	11	17
5	Omiya Ardija	8	4	4	0	16	7	16
6	Shonan Bellmare	9	4	4	1	10	8	16
7	Fujieda MYFC	9	3	4	2	13	10	13
8	Tokushima Vortis	9	4	1	4	9	10	13
9	Montedio Yamagata	9	4	0	5	11	8	12
10	Oita	9	2	5	2	9	7	11
11	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	8	3	2	3	12	12	11
12	Blaublitz Akita	8	2	4	2	11	10	10
13	Tochigi City	9	3	1	5	15	15	10
14	Jubilo Iwata	8	3	1	4	10	11	10
15	Vanraure Hachinohe	9	3	1	5	5	14	10
16	Iwaki FC	8	3	0	5	11	15	9
17	Sagan Tosu	8	2	2	4	8	11	8
18	FC Imabari	9	2	1	6	9	18	7
19	Ventforet Kofu	9	2	1	6	7	17	7
20	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	8	1	2	5	10	17	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jubilo Iwata	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Albirex Niigata	1-2 L	1-2 L
Ventforet Kofu	1-0 W	1-2 L
Tochigi City	3-1 W	1-4 L
Tokushima Vortis	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Jubilo Iwata (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jubilo Iwata

WDDLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
19/09	Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
12/09	Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
06/09	Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League	0-1	0-1	9	9	L
29/08	Tochigi City Japan J2-League	3-0	3-1	7	3	W
22/08	Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League	1-1	2-1	5	0	W
16/08	Yokohama FC Japan J2-League	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
08/08	Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League	1-0	1-1	9	1	D
07/12	Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
29/11	Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League	0-0	2-1	9	4	W

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

DWWLLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League	0-2	2-3	4	0	L
19/09	Oita Japan J2-League	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
13/09	Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
06/09	Tochigi City Japan J2-League	0-2	1-4	10	4	L
29/08	Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
22/08	Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League	0-2	1-4	7	3	L
15/08	Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
08/08	Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
29/11	Ehime FC Japan J2-League	1-0	3-0	11	1	W
23/11	FC Imabari Japan J2-League	0-0	1-1	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jubilo Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jubilo Iwata win (55%). Probabilities: Jubilo Iwata 55%, draw 25%, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 19%.

How many goals are expected in Jubilo Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Jubilo Iwata 1.79 · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jubilo Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.