Football · Japan J2-League · 21/10, 12:00

Prediction: Tochigi City vs Fujieda MYFC

Team pages: Tochigi City · Fujieda MYFC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Tochigi City1.48
Fujieda MYFC1.2
1X2
43% 27% 30%
Tochigi City Draw Fujieda MYFC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Tochigi City 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WWLWDLLLLD
Fujieda MYFC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDLDDDLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tochigi City 1466 · Fujieda MYFC 1474
Tochigi CityDrawFujieda MYFC
Our model42%28%30%
Market43%27%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tochigi CityFujieda MYFC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.61.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.20.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/10/70%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.72.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.42.1 / 0.1

Standings · Japan J2-League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vegalta Sendai 11731 18824
2 Omiya Ardija 11551 211120
3 Albirex Niigata 11623 151920
4 Kataller Toyama 11542 201119
5 Yokohama FC 11533 201418
6 Shonan Bellmare 11461 121018
7 Oita 11452 16917
8 Fujieda MYFC 11353 131114
9 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 11353 151514
10 Jubilo Iwata 11425 131414
11 Sagan Tosu 11425 111314
12 Tokushima Vortis 11425 101214
13 Montedio Yamagata 11416 11913
14 Blaublitz Akita 11344 121213
15 Iwaki FC 10406 131712
16 Tochigi City 11326 171811
17 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 11326 131911
18 FC Imabari 11326 142211
19 Vanraure Hachinohe 11326 92011
20 Ventforet Kofu 10316 91810

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTochigi CityFujieda MYFC
Kataller Toyama 0-0 D 3-2 W
Sagan Tosu 3-1 W 0-1 L
Vanraure Hachinohe 5-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tochigi City (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tochigi City

WWLWDLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Yokohama FC
Japan J2-League
0-1 1-1 47 D
10/10 Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2-League
1-2 1-2 31 L
03/10 FC Imabari
Japan J2-League
1-2 1-2 53 L
26/09 Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2-League
0-1 0-3 23 L
20/09 Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2-League
0-2 1-3 52 L
12/09 Kataller Toyama
Japan J2-League
0-0 0-0 57 D
06/09 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2-League
2-0 4-1 04 W
29/08 Jubilo Iwata
Japan J2-League
0-3 1-3 33 L
22/08 Sagan Tosu
Japan J2-League
0-1 3-1 30 W
15/08 Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J2-League
2-0 5-0 70 W

Fujieda MYFC

WLWDLDDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2-League
0-0 0-0 112 D
10/10 Sagan Tosu
Japan J2-League
0-0 0-1 40 L
03/10 Shonan Bellmare
Japan J2-League
0-0 1-1 25 D
26/09 Oita
Japan J2-League
1-0 1-1 60 D
19/09 Omiya Ardija
Japan J2-League
1-0 1-1 45 D
12/09 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2-League
0-2 2-3 74 L
05/09 Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J2-League
0-0 0-0 92 D
29/08 Kataller Toyama
Japan J2-League
3-1 3-2 11 W
22/08 Albirex Niigata
Japan J2-League
0-0 0-1 42 L
15/08 Iwaki FC
Japan J2-League
1-1 3-1 81 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tochigi City vs Fujieda MYFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tochigi City win (43%). Probabilities: Tochigi City 43%, draw 27%, Fujieda MYFC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Tochigi City vs Fujieda MYFC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Tochigi City 1.48 · Fujieda MYFC 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tochigi City vs Fujieda MYFC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.