Football · Japan J2-League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama

Team pages: Albirex Niigata · Kataller Toyama

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Albirex Niigata1.68

Kataller Toyama1.43

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Albirex Niigata Draw Kataller Toyama

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Albirex Niigata 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWDLWW

Kataller Toyama 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDWDDWL

Head-to-head

Albirex Niigata 0–1–2 Kataller Toyama (3 last)

Kataller Toyama2-0Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata2-3Kataller Toyama
Kataller Toyama2-2Albirex Niigata

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kataller Toyama: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Albirex Niigata	Kataller Toyama
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3	2.8 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.97

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.15 → 3.61▲	Pinn 3.61
X	3.66 → 3.79▲	Pinn 3.79
2	2.05 → 1.89▼	Pinn 1.89

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:15 +13’	3.15	3.66	2.05
07:15 +10’	3.61▲	3.79▲	1.89▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Albirex Niigata 0–1–2 Kataller Toyama

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Kataller Toyama	2-0 HT 1-0	Albirex Niigata
20/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Albirex Niigata	2-3 HT 0-3	Kataller Toyama
12/07/23 Japan FA Cup	Kataller Toyama	2-2 HT 0-1	Albirex Niigata

Standings · Japan J2-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	13	8	3	2	22	11	27
2	Albirex Niigata	13	8	2	3	19	21	26
3	Kataller Toyama	13	6	4	3	23	12	22
4	Yokohama FC	13	6	4	3	25	16	22
5	Omiya Ardija	13	5	6	2	23	16	21
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	13	5	5	3	19	16	20
7	Oita	13	4	7	2	17	10	19
8	Shonan Bellmare	12	4	7	1	13	11	19
9	Sagan Tosu	13	5	2	6	14	15	17
10	Tokushima Vortis	13	5	2	6	11	13	17
11	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	13	5	2	6	16	19	17
12	Iwaki FC	12	5	1	6	19	18	16
13	Blaublitz Akita	13	4	4	5	14	14	16
14	Fujieda MYFC	13	3	6	4	15	14	15
15	Jubilo Iwata	12	4	3	5	13	14	15
16	Vanraure Hachinohe	13	4	2	7	10	22	14
17	Montedio Yamagata	13	4	1	8	11	13	13
18	Tochigi City	12	3	3	6	19	20	12
19	FC Imabari	13	3	2	8	15	26	11
20	Ventforet Kofu	13	3	2	8	10	27	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Albirex Niigata	Kataller Toyama
Shonan Bellmare	1-1 D	1-1 D
Jubilo Iwata	2-1 W	1-0 W
Montedio Yamagata	1-0 W	2-0 W
Yokohama FC	0-5 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kataller Toyama (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albirex Niigata

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
21/10	Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
17/10	Oita Japan J2-League	1-2	1-5	6	0	L
11/10	Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
03/10	Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League	2-1	2-1	3	1	W
26/09	Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
19/09	Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League	1-0	2-1	0	3	W
13/09	Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
06/09	Yokohama FC Japan J2-League	0-1	0-5	1	3	L
29/08	Iwaki FC Japan J2-League	1-1	3-2	3	5	W

Kataller Toyama

LWDWDWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
21/10	Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League	0-0	3-0	3	2	W
17/10	Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League	1-0	1-1	7	1	D
11/10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
03/10	Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
26/09	Yokohama FC Japan J2-League	1-3	3-3	5	1	D
19/09	Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
12/09	Tochigi City Japan J2-League	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
06/09	Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
29/08	Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League	1-3	2-3	15	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Albirex Niigata win (42%). Probabilities: Albirex Niigata 42%, draw 26%, Kataller Toyama 32%.

How many goals are expected in Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Albirex Niigata 1.68 · Kataller Toyama 1.43), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.