Football · Japan J2-League · 31/10, 06:00
Prediction: Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija
Team pages: Vegalta Sendai · Omiya Ardija
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Vegalta Sendai2.01
Omiya Ardija1.07
1X2
Vegalta Sendai
Draw
Omiya Ardija
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Vegalta Sendai
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Omiya Ardija
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vegalta Sendai
2–1–3
Omiya Ardija
(6 last)
- Vegalta Sendai1-2Omiya Ardija
- Omiya Ardija3-0Vegalta Sendai
- Vegalta Sendai1-0Omiya Ardija
- Omiya Ardija1-1Vegalta Sendai
- Vegalta Sendai2-3Omiya Ardija
- Omiya Ardija2-4Vegalta Sendai
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vegalta Sendai (rating 1565 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Omiya Ardija: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vegalta Sendai | Omiya Ardija | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vegalta Sendai 2–1–3 Omiya Ardija
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Omiya Ardija |
| 10/05/25 Japan J2-League | Omiya Ardija | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 19/08/23 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Omiya Ardija |
| 21/05/23 Japan J2-League | Omiya Ardija | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 13/08/22 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Omiya Ardija |
| 21/05/22 Japan J2-League | Omiya Ardija | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Vegalta Sendai |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 7 | Oita | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Shonan Bellmare | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 9 | Sagan Tosu | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | Tokushima Vortis | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Iwaki FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 13 | Blaublitz Akita | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 14 | Fujieda MYFC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 15 | Jubilo Iwata | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 14 |
| 17 | Montedio Yamagata | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 11 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vegalta Sendai | Omiya Ardija |
|---|---|---|
| Shonan Bellmare | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vegalta Sendai (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vegalta Sendai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 21/10 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 26/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
Omiya Ardija
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/10 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vegalta Sendai win (58%). Probabilities: Vegalta Sendai 58%, draw 23%, Omiya Ardija 19%.
How many goals are expected in Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Vegalta Sendai 2.01 · Omiya Ardija 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.