Football · Japan J2-League · 21/10, 12:00
Prediction: Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama
Team pages: Omiya Ardija · Kataller Toyama
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Omiya Ardija1.69
Kataller Toyama1.53
1X2
Omiya Ardija
Draw
Kataller Toyama
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Omiya Ardija
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Kataller Toyama
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Omiya Ardija
1–2–1
Kataller Toyama
(4 last)
- Kataller Toyama0-2Omiya Ardija
- Omiya Ardija2-2Kataller Toyama
- Omiya Ardija1-2Kataller Toyama
- Kataller Toyama1-1Omiya Ardija
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Omiya Ardija | Kataller Toyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omiya Ardija 1–2–1 Kataller Toyama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 Japan J2-League | Kataller Toyama | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Omiya Ardija |
| 03/05/25 Japan J2-League | Omiya Ardija | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Kataller Toyama |
| 24/11/24 Japan J3-League | Omiya Ardija | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Kataller Toyama |
| 16/06/24 Japan J3-League | Kataller Toyama | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Omiya Ardija |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Oita | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 11 | Sagan Tosu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 14 | Blaublitz Akita | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 15 | Iwaki FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 18 | FC Imabari | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Omiya Ardija | Kataller Toyama |
|---|---|---|
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Ventforet Kofu | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Fujieda MYFC | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Blaublitz Akita | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Shonan Bellmare | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Imabari | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omiya Ardija
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Kataller Toyama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 15 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Omiya Ardija win (41%). Probabilities: Omiya Ardija 41%, draw 25%, Kataller Toyama 34%.
How many goals are expected in Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Omiya Ardija 1.69 · Kataller Toyama 1.53), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.