Football · Japan J2-League · 21/10, 12:00
Prediction: Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki FC
Team pages: Shonan Bellmare · Iwaki FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Shonan Bellmare1.65
Iwaki FC1.02
1X2
Shonan Bellmare
Draw
Iwaki FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Shonan Bellmare
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Iwaki FC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shonan Bellmare
0–1–0
Iwaki FC
(1 last)
- Shonan Bellmare1-1Iwaki FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shonan Bellmare (rating 1506 vs 1466).
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shonan Bellmare | Iwaki FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 3.4 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shonan Bellmare 0–1–0 Iwaki FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Shonan Bellmare | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Iwaki FC |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Oita | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 11 | Sagan Tosu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 14 | Blaublitz Akita | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 15 | Iwaki FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 18 | FC Imabari | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shonan Bellmare | Iwaki FC |
|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Fujieda MYFC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Blaublitz Akita | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Vegalta Sendai | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shonan Bellmare (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shonan Bellmare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Iwaki FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 26/09 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Oita Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shonan Bellmare win (51%). Probabilities: Shonan Bellmare 51%, draw 27%, Iwaki FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki FC?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Shonan Bellmare 1.65 · Iwaki FC 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.