Football · Japan J2-League · 21/10, 12:00
Prediction: Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC
Team pages: Ventforet Kofu · Yokohama FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Ventforet Kofu1.18
Yokohama FC1.89
1X2
Ventforet Kofu
Draw
Yokohama FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Ventforet Kofu
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Yokohama FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ventforet Kofu
1–5
Yokohama FC
(6 last)
- Yokohama FC1-0Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu1-2Yokohama FC
- Yokohama FC1-0Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu1-2Yokohama FC
- Yokohama FC3-2Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu2-1Yokohama FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ventforet Kofu 1433 · Yokohama FC 1511
| Ventforet Kofu | Draw | Yokohama FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama FC (rating 1433 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Yokohama FC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ventforet Kofu | Yokohama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.1 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ventforet Kofu 1–0–5 Yokohama FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/24 Japan J2-League | Yokohama FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 25/05/24 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Yokohama FC |
| 18/09/22 Japan J2-League | Yokohama FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 26/03/22 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Yokohama FC |
| 07/09/19 Japan J2-League | Yokohama FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 25/05/19 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Yokohama FC |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Oita | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 11 | Sagan Tosu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 14 | Blaublitz Akita | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 15 | Iwaki FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 18 | FC Imabari | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ventforet Kofu | Yokohama FC |
|---|---|---|
| Iwaki FC | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Tochigi City | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Kataller Toyama | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Jubilo Iwata | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Montedio Yamagata | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Yokohama FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Yokohama FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yokohama FC win (53%). Probabilities: Ventforet Kofu 22%, draw 25%, Yokohama FC 53%.
How many goals are expected in Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Ventforet Kofu 1.18 · Yokohama FC 1.89), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.