Football · Japan J2-League · 21/10, 12:00
Prediction: Jubilo Iwata vs Oita
Team pages: Jubilo Iwata · Oita
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Jubilo Iwata1.24
Oita1.14
1X2
Jubilo Iwata
Draw
Oita
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Jubilo Iwata
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Oita
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jubilo Iwata
1–2–3
Oita
(6 last)
- Oita0-0Jubilo Iwata
- Jubilo Iwata0-3Oita
- Jubilo Iwata1-1Oita
- Oita2-1Jubilo Iwata
- Jubilo Iwata0-2Oita
- Oita1-2Jubilo Iwata
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oita (rating 1495 vs 1536).
- H2H favours Oita: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jubilo Iwata | Oita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 5.9 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jubilo Iwata 1–2–3 Oita
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/25 Japan J2-League | Oita | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jubilo Iwata |
| 25/04/25 Japan J2-League | Jubilo Iwata | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Oita |
| 01/07/23 Japan J2-League | Jubilo Iwata | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Oita |
| 01/04/23 Japan J2-League | Oita | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Jubilo Iwata |
| 27/10/21 Japan Cup | Jubilo Iwata | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Oita |
| 28/09/19 Japan J-League | Oita | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Jubilo Iwata |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Oita | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 11 | Sagan Tosu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 14 | Blaublitz Akita | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 15 | Iwaki FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 18 | FC Imabari | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jubilo Iwata | Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Vegalta Sendai | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Albirex Niigata | 1-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Tokushima Vortis | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Yokohama FC | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Oita (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jubilo Iwata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 29/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 19/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jubilo Iwata vs Oita?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jubilo Iwata win (37%). Probabilities: Jubilo Iwata 37%, draw 30%, Oita 33%.
How many goals are expected in Jubilo Iwata vs Oita?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Jubilo Iwata 1.24 · Oita 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jubilo Iwata vs Oita?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.