Prediction: Stars FC vs FC Tucson
Expected goals: 3.01 (Stars FC 1.38 · FC Tucson 1.63). The model gives 32% home, 25% draw, 43% away. Under 3.5 goals (58%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Stars FC sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while FC Tucson arrives on a 4-4-2 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Stars FC and 2 for FC Tucson, with 1 draw.
| Stars FC | Draw | FC Tucson | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Tucson: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stars FC | FC Tucson | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stars FC 0–1–2 FC Tucson
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 USA USL League Two | FC Tucson | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Stars FC |
| 14/07/25 USA USL League Two | FC Tucson | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Stars FC |
| 21/05/25 USA USL League Two | Stars FC | 2-5 HT 1-2 | FC Tucson |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Southwest Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventura County Fusion | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Redlands FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | Stars FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 4 | FC Tucson | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Capo FC II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 14 |
| 6 | City SC San Diego | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 12 |
| 7 | Southern California Eagles | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 8 |
| 8 | AMSG FC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stars FC | FC Tucson |
|---|---|---|
| Redlands FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| City SC San Diego | 5-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Southern California Eagles | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| AMSG FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Stars FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stars FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FC Tucson USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 08/06 | AMSG FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | AMSG FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/07 | FC Tucson USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
FC Tucson
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Stars FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | AMSG FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/06 | Capo FC II USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stars FC vs FC Tucson?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tucson win (43%). Probabilities: Stars FC 32%, draw 25%, FC Tucson 43%.
How many goals are expected in Stars FC vs FC Tucson?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Stars FC 1.38 · FC Tucson 1.63), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stars FC vs FC Tucson?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.