Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 01/08, 20:00

Prediction: FK Backa Topola vs OFK Vrsac

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
FK Backa Topola2.2
OFK Vrsac0.78
1X2
69% 20% 11%
FK Backa Topola Draw OFK Vrsac
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
FK Backa Topola 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLDWLDLW
OFK Vrsac 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDDLWLWDLD
Head-to-head
FK Backa Topola 0–1–0 OFK Vrsac (1 last)
  • OFK Vrsac1-1FK Backa Topola
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Backa Topola 1508 · OFK Vrsac 1491
FK Backa TopolaDrawOFK Vrsac
Our model69%20%11%
Market69%20%11%
Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK Backa TopolaOFK Vrsac
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.50.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.70.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%11/78/11%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.92 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.34.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Backa Topola 010 OFK Vrsac

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/10/24
Serbia Cup
OFK Vrsac1-1
HT 0-1
FK Backa Topola

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 FK Bor 1919 000 000
1 Borac Cacak 000 000
1 Javor Ivanjica 000 000
1 Jedinstvo UB 000 000
1 Loznica 000 000
1 Metalac Gornji 000 000
1 FK Napredak 000 000
1 FK Naftagas Elemir 000 000
1 Smederevo 000 000
1 Spartak Subotica 000 000
1 FK Teleoptik Zemun 000 000
1 FK Backa Topola 000 000
1 FK Vozdovac 000 000
1 FK Dubocica 000 000
1 OFK Vrsac 000 000
1 FK Graficar Beograd 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Backa Topola

LWWLDWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 ND Ilirija Ljubljana
Club Friendly List
2-0 4-0 W
27/06 Dunajska Streda
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-2 L
24/05 IMT Novi Belgrade
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 1-1 54 D
16/05 Radnicki Nis
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 1-2 84 L
10/05 Javor Ivanjica
Serbia Super Liga
4-1 6-1 43 W
03/05 FK Radnicki 1923
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 2-2 38 D
27/04 Mladost Lucani
Serbia Super Liga
1-1 1-2 115 L
23/04 Spartak Subotica
Serbia Super Liga
1-1 4-1 94 W
19/04 FK Napredak
Serbia Super Liga
2-1 4-1 54 W
08/04 IMT Novi Belgrade
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 1-3 22 L

OFK Vrsac

DDDLWLWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Spartak Subotica
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-2 D
18/07 FK Graficar Beograd
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
15/07 Jedinstvo UB
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D
08/07 OFK Beograd
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 24 W
08/05 FK Vozdovac
Serbia Prva Liga
1-4 2-5 L
04/05 Jedinstvo UB
Serbia Prva Liga
1-0 2-0 W
27/04 FK Macva Sabac
Serbia Prva Liga
0-3 L
22/04 Loznica
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 0-0 D
18/04 FK Zemun
Serbia Prva Liga
1-1 1-1 73 D
05/04 Smederevo
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 0-0 67 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Backa Topola vs OFK Vrsac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Backa Topola win (69%). Probabilities: FK Backa Topola 69%, draw 20%, OFK Vrsac 11%.

How many goals are expected in FK Backa Topola vs OFK Vrsac?

The model expects 2.97 goals (FK Backa Topola 2.2 · OFK Vrsac 0.78), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Backa Topola vs OFK Vrsac?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.