Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 01/08, 17:30

Prediction: Smederevo vs Borac Cacak

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Smederevo1.19

Borac Cacak0.9

1X2

42% 30% 27%

Smederevo Draw Borac Cacak

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Smederevo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWWWWD

Borac Cacak 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDDWDW

Head-to-head

Smederevo 1–2–3 Borac Cacak (6 last)

Smederevo1-1Borac Cacak
Smederevo0-2Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak0-0Smederevo
Borac Cacak4-0Smederevo
Smederevo3-2Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak2-1Smederevo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Smederevo 1551 · Borac Cacak 1575

	Smederevo	Draw	Borac Cacak
Our model	41%	32%	27%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Borac Cacak: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Smederevo	Borac Cacak
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	1.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	3.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:39 +7’	2.10	3.10	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Smederevo 1–2–3 Borac Cacak

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Smederevo	1-1 HT 0-1	Borac Cacak
15/03/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Smederevo	0-2 HT 0-0	Borac Cacak
05/10/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	0-0 HT 0-0	Smederevo
08/12/24 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	4-0 HT 2-0	Smederevo
25/08/24 Serbia Prva Liga	Smederevo	3-2 HT 1-2	Borac Cacak
29/04/23 Serbia Srpska Liga	Borac Cacak	2-1 HT 1-0	Smederevo

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bor 1919	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Borac Cacak	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Javor Ivanjica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jedinstvo UB	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Loznica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Metalac Gornji	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Napredak	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Naftagas Elemir	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Smederevo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spartak Subotica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Teleoptik Zemun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Backa Topola	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Vozdovac	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Dubocica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Vrsac	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Graficar Beograd	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Smederevo	Borac Cacak
FK Trayal Krusevac	5-1 W	0-2 L
FK Kabel Novi Sad	1-0 W	4-2 W
FK Dubocica	2-1 W	2-1 W
FK Tekstilac Odzaci	0-3 L	2-0 W
SU Dinamo Jug	2-1 W	0-0 D
FK Usce Novi Beograd	5-1 W	1-1 D
FK Graficar Beograd	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Smederevo

WWWLDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	FK Sloboda Donji Tovarnik Club Friendly List	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
19/07	OFK Mladost DG Europe Friendlies	1-2	4-2	4	0	W
29/05	FK Trayal Krusevac Serbia Prva Liga	5-1	5-1	–	–	W
24/05	FK Kabel Novi Sad Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/05	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/05	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
07/05	FK Tekstilac Odzaci Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	2	6	L
02/05	SU Dinamo Jug Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/04	FK Usce Novi Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	4-0	5-1	–	–	W
21/04	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W

Borac Cacak

WWLWWDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FK Graficar Beograd Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
29/05	FK Usce Novi Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	FK Tekstilac Odzaci Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
17/05	SU Dinamo Jug Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/05	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
07/05	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
02/05	FK FAP Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	FK Trayal Krusevac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
22/04	FK Kabel Novi Sad Serbia Prva Liga	3-2	4-2	0	4	W
17/04	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	8	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Smederevo vs Borac Cacak?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Smederevo win (42%). Probabilities: Smederevo 42%, draw 30%, Borac Cacak 27%.

How many goals are expected in Smederevo vs Borac Cacak?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Smederevo 1.19 · Borac Cacak 0.9), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Smederevo vs Borac Cacak?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.