Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: FK Vozdovac vs FK Graficar Beograd

Team pages: FK Vozdovac · FK Graficar Beograd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

FK Vozdovac1.45

FK Graficar Beograd1.03

1X2

45% 29% 25%

FK Vozdovac Draw FK Graficar Beograd

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Vozdovac 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWDLL

FK Graficar Beograd 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

FK Vozdovac 3–3–0 FK Graficar Beograd (6 last)

FK Vozdovac3-0FK Graficar Beograd
FK Graficar Beograd0-1FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac2-2FK Graficar Beograd
FK Graficar Beograd1-1FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac2-1FK Graficar Beograd
FK Vozdovac2-2FK Graficar Beograd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Vozdovac 1529 · FK Graficar Beograd 1458

	FK Vozdovac	Draw	FK Graficar Beograd
Our model	46%	29%	26%
Market	45%	30%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Vozdovac (rating 1529 vs 1458).
H2H favours FK Vozdovac: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Vozdovac	FK Graficar Beograd
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	1.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:08 +18’	2.00	3.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Vozdovac 3–3–0 FK Graficar Beograd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Graficar Beograd
30/08/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Graficar Beograd	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Vozdovac
27/04/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	2-2 HT 1-1	FK Graficar Beograd
12/03/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Graficar Beograd	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Vozdovac
13/10/24 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Graficar Beograd
21/10/20 Serbia Cup	FK Vozdovac	2-2 HT 0-2	FK Graficar Beograd

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spartak Subotica	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
2	Smederevo	2	2	0	0	5	3	6
3	FK Napredak	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	Javor Ivanjica	2	1	1	0	6	2	4
5	FK Backa Topola	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	FK Dubocica	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
7	Jedinstvo UB	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
8	Borac Cacak	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
9	OFK Vrsac	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
10	Metalac Gornji	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
11	Loznica	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	FK Proleter 023	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
13	FK Graficar Beograd	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
14	FK Vozdovac	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
15	Bor 1919	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Teleoptik	2	0	0	2	1	7	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Vozdovac	FK Graficar Beograd
Borac Cacak	0-1 L	0-3 L
FK Dubocica	0-1 L	3-1 W
OFK Vrsac	5-2 W	1-0 W
Smederevo	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Vozdovac (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Vozdovac

WWLWWLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
01/08	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	11	6	L
17/07	OFK Mladost DG Club Friendly List	0-0	3-3	1	2	D
08/05	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	4-1	5-2	–	–	W
03/05	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	12	L
27/04	FK Zemun Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
22/04	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
18/04	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
05/04	SU Dinamo Jug Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
28/03	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	2	6	W

FK Graficar Beograd

LWWWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	5	8	L
02/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
25/07	Borac Cacak Club Friendly List	0-2	0-3	3	2	L
18/07	OFK Vrsac Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/07	Metalac Gornji Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
29/05	FK FAP Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
24/05	FK Trayal Krusevac Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	FK Kabel Novi Sad Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
11/05	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	3-1	3	7	W
07/05	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Vozdovac vs FK Graficar Beograd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Vozdovac win (45%). Probabilities: FK Vozdovac 45%, draw 29%, FK Graficar Beograd 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Vozdovac vs FK Graficar Beograd?

The model expects 2.48 goals (FK Vozdovac 1.45 · FK Graficar Beograd 1.03), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Vozdovac vs FK Graficar Beograd?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.