Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 01/08, 20:00
Prediction: Jedinstvo UB vs Metalac Gornji
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Jedinstvo UB1.44
Metalac Gornji0.77
1X2
Jedinstvo UB
Draw
Metalac Gornji
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Jedinstvo UB
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Metalac Gornji
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jedinstvo UB
3–1–0
Metalac Gornji
(4 last)
- Jedinstvo UB2-0Metalac Gornji
- Metalac Gornji0-0Jedinstvo UB
- Metalac Gornji0-1Jedinstvo UB
- Jedinstvo UB3-1Metalac Gornji
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jedinstvo UB 1431 · Metalac Gornji 1547
| Jedinstvo UB | Draw | Metalac Gornji | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| Market | 53% | 27% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metalac Gornji (rating 1431 vs 1547).
- H2H favours Jedinstvo UB: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jedinstvo UB | Metalac Gornji | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 44/44/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | – / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jedinstvo UB 3–1–0 Metalac Gornji
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/24 Serbia Prva Liga | Jedinstvo UB | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Metalac Gornji |
| 15/10/23 Serbia Prva Liga | Metalac Gornji | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jedinstvo UB |
| 08/04/23 Serbia Prva Liga | Metalac Gornji | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Jedinstvo UB |
| 08/10/22 Serbia Prva Liga | Jedinstvo UB | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Metalac Gornji |
Standings · Serbia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Bor 1919 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Javor Ivanjica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jedinstvo UB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Loznica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Metalac Gornji | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Napredak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Naftagas Elemir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Smederevo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartak Subotica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Teleoptik Zemun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Backa Topola | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Vozdovac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Dubocica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OFK Vrsac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Graficar Beograd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jedinstvo UB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | OFK Vrsac Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | FK Zemun Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | FK FAP Serbia Prva Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
Metalac Gornji
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Javor Ivanjica Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 15/07 | FK Graficar Beograd Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | FK Radnicki Valjevo Serbia Srpska Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | FK Napredak Markovac Serbia Srpska Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | FK Zlatibor Serbia Srpska Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Sumadija Kragujevac Serbia Srpska Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Omladinac Zablace Serbia Srpska Liga |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | FK Josanica Serbia Srpska Liga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FK Real Podunavci Serbia Srpska Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 22/04 | Zeleznicar Lajkovac Serbia Srpska Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jedinstvo UB vs Metalac Gornji?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jedinstvo UB win (52%). Probabilities: Jedinstvo UB 52%, draw 28%, Metalac Gornji 19%.
How many goals are expected in Jedinstvo UB vs Metalac Gornji?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Jedinstvo UB 1.44 · Metalac Gornji 0.77), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jedinstvo UB vs Metalac Gornji?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.