Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: FK Napredak vs Metalac Gornji

Team pages: FK Napredak · Metalac Gornji

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.75Total
FK Napredak1.25
Metalac Gornji0.49
1X2
56% 29% 15%
FK Napredak Draw Metalac Gornji
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FK Napredak 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDLLLWWW
Metalac Gornji 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWDWWDWL
Head-to-head
FK Napredak 4–1–1 Metalac Gornji (6 last)
  • FK Napredak1-0Metalac Gornji
  • Metalac Gornji2-3FK Napredak
  • Metalac Gornji2-2FK Napredak
  • FK Napredak1-2Metalac Gornji
  • FK Napredak2-0Metalac Gornji
  • FK Napredak1-0Metalac Gornji
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Napredak 1493 · Metalac Gornji 1533
FK NapredakDrawMetalac Gornji
Our model54%32%13%
Market57%26%16%
Estimated total (ours) 1.75 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metalac Gornji (rating 1493 vs 1533).
  • H2H favours FK Napredak: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK NapredakMetalac Gornji
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 0.81.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.40.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.62 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 04.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Napredak 411 Metalac Gornji

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/22
Serbia Super Liga
FK Napredak1-0
HT 0-0
Metalac Gornji
02/11/21
Serbia Super Liga
Metalac Gornji2-3
HT 1-3
FK Napredak
19/03/21
Serbia Super Liga
Metalac Gornji2-2
HT 1-1
FK Napredak
27/09/20
Serbia Super Liga
FK Napredak1-2
HT 0-1
Metalac Gornji
17/10/18
Serbia Cup
FK Napredak2-0
HT 1-0
Metalac Gornji
30/11/16
Serbia Super Liga
FK Napredak1-0
HT 1-0
Metalac Gornji

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Spartak Subotica 2200 726
2 Smederevo 2200 536
3 FK Napredak 2200 206
4 Javor Ivanjica 2110 624
5 FK Backa Topola 2110 214
6 FK Dubocica 2110 104
7 Jedinstvo UB 2101 213
8 Borac Cacak 2101 333
9 OFK Vrsac 2101 113
10 Metalac Gornji 2101 343
11 Loznica 2020 002
12 FK Proleter 023 2011 011
13 FK Graficar Beograd 2002 130
14 FK Vozdovac 2002 020
15 Bor 1919 2002 040
16 Teleoptik 2002 170

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK NapredakMetalac Gornji
FK Graficar Beograd 1-0 W 2-0 W
Spartak Subotica 3-0 W 2-4 L
Javor Ivanjica 0-4 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Metalac Gornji (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Napredak

LLWDLLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Bor 1919
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 1-0 69 W
02/08 FK Graficar Beograd
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 1-0 45 W
25/07 FK Dubocica
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 35 W
15/07 FK Sloga Doboj
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 39 L
11/07 Radnik Bijeljina
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 31 L
24/05 Mladost Lucani
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 0-1 40 L
16/05 FK Radnicki 1923
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-0 35 D
10/05 Spartak Subotica
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 3-0 35 W
03/05 Radnicki Nis
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-1 14 L
27/04 Javor Ivanjica
Serbia Super Liga
0-3 0-4 60 L

Metalac Gornji

WLDWDWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Spartak Subotica
Serbia Prva Liga
0-2 2-4 54 L
01/08 Jedinstvo UB
Serbia Prva Liga
1-0 1-0 69 W
24/07 Javor Ivanjica
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 14 D
15/07 FK Graficar Beograd
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-0 W
05/06 FK Radnicki Valjevo
Serbia Srpska Liga
0-0 2-0 61 W
31/05 FK Napredak Markovac
Serbia Srpska Liga
1-0 1-1 48 D
24/05 FK Zlatibor
Serbia Srpska Liga
1-0 3-0 53 W
17/05 FK Sumadija Kragujevac
Serbia Srpska Liga
1-1 1-1 54 D
09/05 FK Omladinac Zablace
Serbia Srpska Liga
0-2 L
02/05 FK Josanica
Serbia Srpska Liga
0-0 4-0 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Napredak vs Metalac Gornji?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Napredak win (56%). Probabilities: FK Napredak 56%, draw 29%, Metalac Gornji 15%.

How many goals are expected in FK Napredak vs Metalac Gornji?

The model expects 1.75 goals (FK Napredak 1.25 · Metalac Gornji 0.49), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Napredak vs Metalac Gornji?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.