Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 23/10, 18:00
Prediction: Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin
Team pages: Motor Lublin · Zaglebie Lubin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Motor Lublin1.51
Zaglebie Lubin1.13
1X2
Motor Lublin
Draw
Zaglebie Lubin
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Motor Lublin
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Zaglebie Lubin
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Motor Lublin
3–2–0
Zaglebie Lubin
(5 last)
- Motor Lublin1-0Zaglebie Lubin
- Zaglebie Lubin2-2Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin1-0Zaglebie Lubin
- Zaglebie Lubin1-2Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin0-0Zaglebie Lubin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Motor Lublin: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Motor Lublin | Zaglebie Lubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.5 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Motor Lublin 3–2–0 Zaglebie Lubin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 21/09/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Motor Lublin |
| 18/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 22/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Motor Lublin |
| 19/10/22 Poland Cup | Motor Lublin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Legia Warsaw | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 18 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | Cracovia Krakow | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 11 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Krakow | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Motor Lublin | Zaglebie Lubin |
|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Radomiak Radom | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Rakow Czestochowa | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Legia Warsaw | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Piast Gliwice | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| GKS Katowice | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Pogon Szczecin | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Zaglebie Lubin (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Motor Lublin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 12/10 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Zaglebie Lubin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/09 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 12/09 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 23/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/07 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Motor Lublin win (45%). Probabilities: Motor Lublin 45%, draw 28%, Zaglebie Lubin 27%.
How many goals are expected in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Motor Lublin 1.51 · Zaglebie Lubin 1.13), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.