Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 23/10, 20:30

Prediction: Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze

Team pages: Widzew Lodz · Gornik Zabrze

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Widzew Lodz1.14

Gornik Zabrze1.32

1X2

31% 30% 39%

Widzew Lodz Draw Gornik Zabrze

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Widzew Lodz 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLDDDLD

Gornik Zabrze 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Widzew Lodz 1–3–2 Gornik Zabrze (6 last)

Widzew Lodz0-0Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze3-2Widzew Lodz
Gornik Zabrze0-0Widzew Lodz
Widzew Lodz0-2Gornik Zabrze
Widzew Lodz3-1Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze1-1Widzew Lodz

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gornik Zabrze (rating 1465 vs 1547).
H2H favours Gornik Zabrze: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Widzew Lodz	Gornik Zabrze
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.6	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.86 → 2.79▼	Pinn 2.79
X	3.29 → 3.45▲	Pinn 3.45
2	2.42 → 2.46▲	Pinn 2.46

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:32 +15’	2.86	3.29	2.42
13:38 +60’	2.87▲	3.41▲	2.42
15:09 +98’	2.79▼	3.45▲	2.46▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Widzew Lodz 1–3–2 Gornik Zabrze

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Widzew Lodz	0-0 HT 0-0	Gornik Zabrze
21/09/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	3-2 HT 2-1	Widzew Lodz
27/04/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	0-0 HT 0-0	Widzew Lodz
27/10/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Widzew Lodz	0-2 HT 0-1	Gornik Zabrze
25/02/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Widzew Lodz	3-1 HT 2-0	Gornik Zabrze
18/08/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	1-1 HT 1-0	Widzew Lodz

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	8	1	1	19	9	25
2	Legia Warsaw	11	6	5	0	22	9	23
3	Lech Poznan	9	7	1	1	21	8	22
4	Pogon Szczecin	10	6	3	1	15	6	21
5	GKS Katowice	11	6	0	5	22	16	18
6	Wisla Krakow	11	5	3	3	17	14	18
7	Piast Gliwice	10	5	1	4	18	16	16
8	Korona Kielce	10	4	3	3	12	12	15
9	Zaglebie Lubin	10	4	3	3	12	13	15
10	Jagiellonia Bialystok	9	4	0	5	13	16	12
10	Cracovia Krakow	11	3	3	5	13	16	12
12	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	15	19	12
13	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	9	15	11
14	Widzew Lodz	11	1	7	3	14	15	10
15	Wieczysta Krakow	11	2	2	7	16	21	8
16	Radomiak Radom	10	2	2	6	9	23	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14	22	6
18	Rakow Czestochowa	11	2	0	9	15	26	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Widzew Lodz	Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow	0-0 D	2-1 W
Radomiak Radom	0-0 D	3-1 W
Lech Poznan	2-3 L	2-1 W
Slask Wroclaw	3-3 D	2-1 W
Korona Kielce	1-2 L	2-0 W
Jagiellonia Bialystok	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gornik Zabrze (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Widzew Lodz

DWLDLDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
11/10	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	13	4	L
18/09	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
13/09	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
05/09	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
30/08	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
22/08	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	3-3	0	7	D
15/08	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	1-2	1-2	15	3	L
09/08	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
31/07	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Gornik Zabrze

WWWLWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	3-1	4	6	W
19/09	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
15/09	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
12/09	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
06/09	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
03/09	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
30/08	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-3	13	1	L
16/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
08/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	3-1	3	8	W
25/07	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gornik Zabrze win (39%). Probabilities: Widzew Lodz 31%, draw 30%, Gornik Zabrze 39%.

How many goals are expected in Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Widzew Lodz 1.14 · Gornik Zabrze 1.32), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.